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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    There weren't many, but just had some mixed snowflakes here
  2. Chicago916
    Still looks like models are overdoing ongoing precipitation. Gonna have to closely watch what the storms in KS do further east I'd think.
  3. Chicago916
    Tomorrow's a wake up and see day. No point to modeling.
  4. Chicago916
    On the reals though, this probably is the most under the gun such a large area of the sub has been in since the Washington, IL outbreak (ignoring derechos). Could be a busy day. Going to be some lol worthy rrfs runs starting today. LR NAM already going crazy in NIL with STP.
  5. Chicago916
    Tornado Alley really is just Illinois these days.
  6. Chicago916
    Trending NW with larger warm sector. Definitely the next period to watch
  7. Chicago916
    Any prefrontal cells that pop ahead of the front that aren't undercut and are in the better parameter space. Yikes.
  8. Chicago916
    What does it take these days to get a Moderate risk? Doesn't make sense given the watch probabilities?
  9. Chicago916
    Safe to say morning clouds/debris will not be an issue. Time to build instability and a strong cap.
  10. Chicago916
    Maybe a dumb question but why does the SPC Mesoanalysis show CAPE in Illinois? I doubt we've accumulated 1000 J/kg under clouds all day.
  11. Chicago916
    Feels like another sleeper lower MI tornado day
  12. Chicago916
    Given the nuance in forecasting severe weather, I find it funny how the current enhanced eastern extent just barely extends into the Metro lol
  13. Chicago916
    The Great Lakes are the place to be when everything else goes to shit. At least we have fresh water.
  14. Chicago916
    They did. ILL!
  15. Chicago916
    Was driving around tons of flooded streets in Lincoln Park and Avondale earlier. Going to be a literal icerink out there tomorrow. If only someone could have cleared all of the crap from the sewer drains to prevent it...
  16. Chicago916
    Idk about using global models at short range, but interesting dual maxima of snow on GEFS in NW IL and NE IL. Who knows what happens.
  17. Chicago916
    MET from Central IL posted this. Would think this would extend north and east too? https://www.facebook.com/share/17Ay3SJdeN/
  18. Chicago916
    Morning storms looking fairly robust too. Saw some peeks of sun outside too
  19. Chicago916
    Does Chicago get more snow from this WAA snow than the actual storm? That's the big question lmao
  20. Chicago916
    soon to be all of us
  21. Chicago916
    I've sensed cautious optimism from you lately. I still think it's strange given the moving pieces we haven't really seen any large swings in guidance. I guess modeling isn't that terrible then
  22. Chicago916
    I was just hoping for more thunderstorms, but looks like between snow and thunderstorms, we've landed in the middle so we'll get neither lol
  23. Chicago916
    Never been so confused catching up on a thread. Models haven't really changed all too much (kinda wild given the many pieces of energy)? Are we rooting for a miss north? Are we vague posting?
  24. Chicago916
    Glancing at the EPS mean qpf and I'm gonna need some see some ensemble members... Lol
  25. Chicago916
    EPS big shift South?
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