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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. SREF is a garbage model, but a noticable bump Northeast in CAPE at 15z and overall trend, so could see NAM show a little better overlap of instability and shear north. Still going to be a Nowcast tomorrow morning to see how fast the morning storms clear out.
  2. When all is said and done, Peoria to NWI gonna be the hot spot again.
  3. Current radar almost looks like a line of supercells with hooks moving in
  4. Funny how the cig2 and highest risk just stops a few miles from the lake. SPC should know south of the metro into NWI is the QLCS tornado hotspot lol
  5. Shades of? https://www.weather.gov/lot/2014_06_30_SevereStorms
  6. Get ready to Day 3 Moderate?
  7. Let's get ready to Derecho
  8. If Chicago ever fixes housing affordability I'll be back sooner than later
  9. Some news on my front if anyone cares lol. Moving to Milwaukee next month. I'll be bringing my magnet to pull some Winter Storms and warm fronts further north.
  10. Storm means business. Really strong winds and momentarily lost power.
  11. There weren't many, but just had some mixed snowflakes here
  12. Still looks like models are overdoing ongoing precipitation. Gonna have to closely watch what the storms in KS do further east I'd think.
  13. Tomorrow's a wake up and see day. No point to modeling.
  14. On the reals though, this probably is the most under the gun such a large area of the sub has been in since the Washington, IL outbreak (ignoring derechos). Could be a busy day. Going to be some lol worthy rrfs runs starting today. LR NAM already going crazy in NIL with STP.
  15. Tornado Alley really is just Illinois these days.
  16. Trending NW with larger warm sector. Definitely the next period to watch
  17. Any prefrontal cells that pop ahead of the front that aren't undercut and are in the better parameter space. Yikes.
  18. What does it take these days to get a Moderate risk? Doesn't make sense given the watch probabilities?
  19. Safe to say morning clouds/debris will not be an issue. Time to build instability and a strong cap.
  20. Maybe a dumb question but why does the SPC Mesoanalysis show CAPE in Illinois? I doubt we've accumulated 1000 J/kg under clouds all day.
  21. Feels like another sleeper lower MI tornado day
  22. Given the nuance in forecasting severe weather, I find it funny how the current enhanced eastern extent just barely extends into the Metro lol
  23. The Great Lakes are the place to be when everything else goes to shit. At least we have fresh water.
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