HornetsHomer91

These models are only drying up over POTENTIAL Gulf convection.... something that we will not know until MAYBE 3-4AM tonight in Real radar. Take a peak at Wichita KS..... Forecast 1" ..... SO FAR 6-7"

LOL Nah i got ya ... its the whole 3" in 24hrs or 1/4" ICE ect. You sound ready for Spring

@HKY_WX I may be wrong but the Backside band on Thursday is probably best shot 321 - 77 Corridor especially now with some isolated .15 -.2" QPF in it popping up. I squeezed 1-1.5" Out of that little December one. Need 3.5" for the 6" Season ... Would be cool to split, 1-2 tomm and then 1-2 Thursday for the backdoor cover but idk. I saw NWS GSP has me at 1-2 but 10 mins East in Rowan 2-3" so suttle changes will help

@msuwxAs far as your post earlier or the ppl on top of RAH office .... would it not be easier (especially in a situation like this where tiny tweaks could mean 4-5" and Trace -1, with more mixing over there) to just post the WWA and what you thought your floor amounts are, then tomm wake up and look at downstream and radar when its within 200 miles of the CWA? IDK I remember Panovich saying one time " No one will remember if you bust low, theyll destroy you if you bust too high". So just do WWA and tomm if you think Radar would equal WSW move up the totals then ? Thats a long winded way to say I agree with what theyre doing. So many ways this could change Gulf Coast Convection (Robbing or adding liquid if oriented properly) Slower transfer to the Coast Warm Nose ect. PPL can be upset but no reason for anyone to show more than 1-3" for now minus extreme NE-NC/ VA Beach area who are prolly 4-6.

Its bc that EURO Run Saturday.... had that not been shown no one would be disappointed. It showed that and then in 24hrs literally went to near ZERO basically in the same areas. Once that was shown there was no coming back mentally

Time to call it boys…. Just ain’t your day Welcome to hell like the rest of us weenies .

UK was also a bit slower to onset ... the 03Z Thursday frame was now the money shot, ON 12Z at 03Z Thursday the LP was hauling and up by N Outer Banks... Youd have to think with it being February an overnight storm definitely wouldnt hurt anything, especially for some of our members on the edges of nothing and something

While these maps look wild we know the drill here...Canadian would probably be 1/4 - 1/2" Forecast I-85. Gotta shave 75% off any ICE numbers on any model

UK Hr 150

In all Honesty a 4-5" Snow / 1/2" ICE / 1" Sleet bag would be pretty solid. Sort of painful that Statesville would be at like 8" but Mooresville would be 4" but Hey CLT would be zero lmao

Yea I had 13" Total in Western NC .... got 3-4" from the deform pivot

Havent been in here since 2023... But yes, this is the post ... I think if we can stay the course 00Z suites Sat AM will rule the roost as far as the direction we begin to head good or bad. For now, lets just keep hitting it on the fairway

So now that anyone outside of imo 4K feet is out of play…. Does anyone else enjoy the tracking/Chase more than the actual event or is that just me? I love the anticipation of a model run, the highs/Lows ect lol then the event comes and goes and it’s like mehhh what do I do now lol .

Still as long as I get to “see” some I’m good .

It won’t let me post a pic … but it was 6-8” amounts basically 77 west up thru your area in VA .

GFS although from Tidbits ummmm looked much different…. Ik Ik Tidbits but still hell of a change .

Never give up till HRRR tells you no [emoji23][emoji23]….. however CLT is in EXTREME danger of breaking that all time record “NEVER has CLT not atleast had a trace at airport since like 1890” .

Yes, this actually looks pretty realistic….. as good as mountains are for CAD help, they will absolutely Shred the “Death Band” if it doesn’t form perfectly and scoot under it thru the upstate it will just be wrung out like a summer time band from TN .

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Yea…. Still got 48-60hrs 25 miles a day lol [emoji1787] .

NAM thermals in any CAD setup is the GOAT jmo

thats south by like 75-80 from this AM just Lp

not trying to be an ass.... but EYE no offense it was never a triangle thing anyway , and why lock the thread ? you can just not open it , certainly still a possibility for anyone along and W/NW of 77. I mean i get the discouragement but enough with this garbage man youre better than this

also, @msuwx do you have an archived vid "The Carolina wx video" ? i was a Sr in HS but remember your vid on March 2009 if im not mistaken