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winterwarlock

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Everything posted by winterwarlock

  1. its spits out 1.3 for central jersey north and 1.7 extreme coast south jersey
  2. really a kick in the balls verbatim from the nam east of the Garden State Parkway
  3. well even as we laugh at the GFS it does matchup with what Mt Holly is forecasting in NJ
  4. odd post...most models are showing 6-12 not 12-18
  5. i think its a joke model but that is has backed off and is usually a snow lovers dream may be saying something..its now the least snowiest model out there
  6. why did they have to go 18 inches though...why not 8-14 that seems more appropriate..IMO its because they have fallen in love with the nbm
  7. hearing Lee Goldberg is 6-12 for many but havent seen a map yet
  8. its 6-12 on the map for most of nj...on kuchera its 7-13
  9. The masses are now expecting the big hyped 12-16 inch event if that fails to happen they will just shake their head at the forecasters
  10. feb 20 2025 was that the date of a pretty big failure...there have been several
  11. ok thanks but it still seems extreme as if they are hugging the gfs
  12. Mt holly is being absurd....going to hug the NBM right off the cliff and then when its 6-12 in central jersey and 10-16 to the north will act like they got it right all along most prudent would be to start out lower with what the actual models are putting out and then talk about the possibility of higher amounts
  13. exactly...6-12 covers alot of bases to the public without setting yourself up for failure with 12-18 initial maps which if fear Mt holly will do based on their discussions the past day and their insistence on using the faulty nbm of course stress the potential in the northern areas you could get those 15 inch plus amounts and toward the coast especially toward southern jersey you could get 3-4 inches before a changeover to ice and maybe plain rain
  14. its not the nam run , its the nam picking up on some of the same idea that other models are showing
  15. Dont understand why the nbm is used. Seems very out of wack 3-4 days in advance
  16. is anyone else not a fan of the using the NBM map for snowfall this far out. I know Mt Holly uses it to make their forecasts close in but 4 days out it would seem to be irrelevant as a map given the model spread currently and in most situations.
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