Jt17
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Everything posted by Jt17
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We got pics... Ant?
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Whew
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Bad run - if CMC looks like rgem, the Goofus will be on its own.
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Nope lol
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Enormous shift. Wow.
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That looks... way better - that is maybe more than a tick back west?
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That's what getting nam'd is lol
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We're prob about to get nam'd
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Bleeding stopped, need the west trend to commence
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I mentioned GEFS trended west and got crickets
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My bad. That's good to know. It did look ridiculous after all.
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That nam run wasn't included in its guidance. It came after 3:20. That being said the other mesoscale model with any legitimacy the rgem didn't fall apart like the nam at all. In fact the rgem was a little better than it's previous run.
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It's because one of the 2 major weather models relied on most heavily to forecast weather in the US is still showing over a foot for most of Long Island.
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It didn't shift east either.
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GEFS trended "west" - quotes because it was super tiny lol
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It still has that double barrel low thing going on but I think the models will resolve this eventually. Choosing the left side would be ideal for us lol
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It really didn't man, maybe the depicted precip field did slightly, but the actual low didn't and H5 even looked better than last run.
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Which is why meteorologists continue to give credence to the possibility that this could substantially change
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Right but the positive outlook would be that the GFS looks like it might have stopped with the east trend.
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Looks the same as 12z, it still wouldn't take major changes from this run to end up with a major storm.
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GFS running...
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Not being facetious when I say this, but they are always getting new data. Thus we shouldn't be surprised to see waffling around. Especially in this set up.
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can't remember this NOT happening
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I can't imagine it's going to hop around like this, all of the models seem to be shooting darts with the location of the LP
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18z nam at hour 63: then at 66:
