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Jt17

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Everything posted by Jt17

  1. Jt17
    Does anybody have a favorite radar they can recommend?
  2. Jt17
    exactly... lol
  3. Jt17
    If the RAP is right (it's giving the city consistently run after run 16 inches with ratios now) people are going to wake up with a surprise cuz that ain't 6-10 inches lol
  4. Jt17
    he's trolling - that's why I asked where he was from.
  5. Jt17
    that was actually a pretty big jump... 0.56" qpf last run to .73" this run 1.5 inches at 10-1 and about 2.9 inches more with ratios...
  6. Jt17
    2-4" inches for the whole storm? lol You actually came here to troll. What a boring place to troll man. It's a bunch of weather nerds.
  7. Jt17
    I understand that, but most of this forum is focused on the immediate area around NYC and that will be far enough from strong winds for most of this storm that it shouldn't really have an impact on snow growth. Which is why the outer extent of the moderate/heavy snow actually could reflect the Kuchera snow totals. Just a hunch here.
  8. Jt17
    you in Maryland? lol
  9. Jt17
    I know, but the comments every time somebody mentions ratios or posts a Kuchera map is ridiculous. Not the same type of storm at all but La Guardia got 9 inches of snow on .3 QPF earlier this month. ratios are a THING.
  10. Jt17
    No no, haven't you heard... there's no such thing as ratios. Snow only falls at 10-1 NO MATTER WHAT.
  11. Jt17
    Yep I think it could be one of those where the outer boroughs surprise some peoeps... so far looking nice.
  12. Jt17
    We're neighbors I'm here in Flushing. Def coming down pretty nicely with about 1.5 inches as well.
  13. Jt17
    RAP would make a lot of the eternal pessimist crew look bad in here lol
  14. Jt17
    Nam looks good at hour 9, not east, but slightly north with a higher pressure and slightly lower pressure. Then at hour 12 it gets back on the double barrel train and gets sheared apart. If it really is just chasing convection like some mets think, we're in better business than we think/it looks like.
  15. Jt17
    NAM should be interesting lol
  16. Jt17
    Amen.
  17. Jt17
  18. Jt17
    6-8 is 10-1 ratios. Bone cold storm through the entire column will have ratios. The Kuchera are likely closer to reality than 10-1
  19. Jt17
    I know but it actually got rid of the double low for longer this run than last. Up to hour 18 there was an inch more snow as a result even though the "west" low (and the only low at this point) was centered slightly east to previous runs.
  20. Jt17
    Nam looked a little more organized through hour 18 before eventually succumbing to the double barrel look which tugged the best snows east. Would like to see if other models especially the mesoscale models start to delay the double barrel look or eliminate it.
  21. Jt17
    This is a better look to me than the last run: previous run:
  22. Jt17
    Nam is losing the double low look and picking a path in the middle for the track of the storm... this would make the most sense lol
  23. Jt17
    Welp we have the RAP and HRRR on our side so far... look like the Nam and Euro runs from last night. Major levels of snow for NYC Metro and historic looking for LI and the shore on both for now. Yes, yes weenie and all that.
  24. Jt17
    Lol 18z looks like 15z
  25. Jt17
    It still believes in the western low. Less energy stripped and keeps best snows slightly west... wouldn't take much.
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