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Jt17

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Everything posted by Jt17

  1. The GFS improved a ton, the Ukie improved a ton. The last euro run was great... 1 random run of the euro had a step back, 5 days out. The Euro reaction right now is exactly what I told my friend would happen in this thread at some point, whether we get the storm or not in the end. Such a fun social pattern to observe year after year. .
  2. Anthony posted 2 different storm separated by four days. GFS storm is in six days. .
  3. Looking at the radar pretty sure they're going to report over a foot by the end. .
  4. That's not how a trend works. The gfs actually went monster hit, to too amped that it hugged the coast and now it's gone the other way a bit. If anything the trend is the monster hit. I'm being literal here, but words matter - what you're describing isn't a trend. You're just saying something that backs your hunch. .
  5. NYC is smack in the middle of basically the most northern and southern modeling at the moment... heavier wetter snow storm or slightly colder less intense storm. Either way it probably ends up 6-8 inches by either cutting the clown map output on a warmer wetter storm or keeping it closer to 10-1 for a colder drier storm. It's north or south from the city that actually looks like the tough forecast for a change. .
  6. Not the way to look at it. 20.3 inches is definitely ahead of avg on this date. The avg as of Feb 1 was below 15 inches for all 3 NYC airports. (not sure what it is for 2/13, but it can't be 5 inches more)
  7. That's was the full run on pivotal, they're 18 hours for hrrr and like I said earlier to somebody else the final totals won't be as west oriented as these look since it would still be snowing past this.
  8. Would be nice to get another 2-4 inches area wide. This winter hasn't been as doomsday as the weenies make it out to be.
  9. I think the fact that it's still snowing when this run ends explains why east hasn't filled out as much as west. It seems like it will be a pretty wide swath of relatively similar totals area wide.
  10. Yea and NYC and east ended up with 10-20+ inches when surface depictions were showing 2-3 inches when H5 was screaming something bigger.
  11. 9 days away? Lol have some patience dude!
  12. I live in an apt complex in queens with a few buildings creating tunnels and between them all is a tennis and basketball court. The courts are completely clear and snow is stacked up against the wall surrounding it in parts about 3 feet high lol
  13. Looks like that band heading nw over Nassau County might bring some pop to the outer boros and then Manhattan...
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