Jt17

Looking at the radar pretty sure they're going to report over a foot by the end. .

That's not how a trend works. The gfs actually went monster hit, to too amped that it hugged the coast and now it's gone the other way a bit. If anything the trend is the monster hit. I'm being literal here, but words matter - what you're describing isn't a trend. You're just saying something that backs your hunch. .

This is a damn good post. .

This is a damn good post. .

There's nothing that shows that. .

It's in a small minority at this point. .

NYC is smack in the middle of basically the most northern and southern modeling at the moment... heavier wetter snow storm or slightly colder less intense storm. Either way it probably ends up 6-8 inches by either cutting the clown map output on a warmer wetter storm or keeping it closer to 10-1 for a colder drier storm. It's north or south from the city that actually looks like the tough forecast for a change. .

Sounds about right. Thanks!

Not the way to look at it. 20.3 inches is definitely ahead of avg on this date. The avg as of Feb 1 was below 15 inches for all 3 NYC airports. (not sure what it is for 2/13, but it can't be 5 inches more)

La Guardia approaching 25 inches on 2/13, not bad.

That's was the full run on pivotal, they're 18 hours for hrrr and like I said earlier to somebody else the final totals won't be as west oriented as these look since it would still be snowing past this.

HRRR 01z (still snowing):

Would be nice to get another 2-4 inches area wide. This winter hasn't been as doomsday as the weenies make it out to be.

I think the fact that it's still snowing when this run ends explains why east hasn't filled out as much as west. It seems like it will be a pretty wide swath of relatively similar totals area wide.

I think he means through the current date.