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Jt17

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  1. Jt17
    The GFS improved a ton, the Ukie improved a ton. The last euro run was great... 1 random run of the euro had a step back, 5 days out. The Euro reaction right now is exactly what I told my friend would happen in this thread at some point, whether we get the storm or not in the end. Such a fun social pattern to observe year after year. .
  2. Jt17
    30+ hours of snow would be fun .
  3. Jt17 started following Potential extensive winter event, I-95 west and with again a chance for NYC first inch(es) of snow Mon or more likely Tue Jan 16, 2024 (serves as OBS thread as well) , Discussion for a probable 2 or 3 winter storms/events between Tue Feb 11 - Sat Feb 15. OBS threads for each will be added as needed. , Discussion-OBS Weekend Feb 8-9 Another mainly 12 hour snow-ice event possibly changing to rain before ending Sunday. NYC-LI-S of I78 on the edge? and 3 others
  4. Jt17
    Get emmmmm .
  5. Jt17
    Anthony posted 2 different storm separated by four days. GFS storm is in six days. .
  6. Jt17
    Looking at the radar pretty sure they're going to report over a foot by the end. .
  7. Jt17
    That's not how a trend works. The gfs actually went monster hit, to too amped that it hugged the coast and now it's gone the other way a bit. If anything the trend is the monster hit. I'm being literal here, but words matter - what you're describing isn't a trend. You're just saying something that backs your hunch. .
  8. Jt17
    This is a damn good post. .
  9. Jt17
    This is a damn good post. .
  10. Jt17
    There's nothing that shows that. .
  11. Jt17
    It's in a small minority at this point. .
  12. Jt17
    NYC is smack in the middle of basically the most northern and southern modeling at the moment... heavier wetter snow storm or slightly colder less intense storm. Either way it probably ends up 6-8 inches by either cutting the clown map output on a warmer wetter storm or keeping it closer to 10-1 for a colder drier storm. It's north or south from the city that actually looks like the tough forecast for a change. .
  13. Jt17
    Sounds about right. Thanks!
  14. Jt17
    Not the way to look at it. 20.3 inches is definitely ahead of avg on this date. The avg as of Feb 1 was below 15 inches for all 3 NYC airports. (not sure what it is for 2/13, but it can't be 5 inches more)
  15. Jt17
    La Guardia approaching 25 inches on 2/13, not bad.
  16. Jt17
    That's was the full run on pivotal, they're 18 hours for hrrr and like I said earlier to somebody else the final totals won't be as west oriented as these look since it would still be snowing past this.
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