Northof78
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Everything posted by Northof78
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Again, this could be the largest (or tied) for the largest snowstorm this year for some in the NYC metro and NE & C NJ -
another 2-4" for most of the Metro, Rt.78 and north especially on Saturday
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Saturday might be the largest storm of the season for some in parts of N/C NJ and NYC Metro
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Saturday could be largest storm for some in this period
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1.5" for the storm, 15" for the season, hoping to have a chance to near 20" by end of the weekend...
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GFS for Saturday looks like a solid 2-4" front running over running for entire area....all snow QPF in the 0.25 - 0.4 range.
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Mostly Cloudy, interesting storm upcoming, where most modeling has the precipitation coming from the due south/from the ocean....more coastal related...
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GFS looks good for another 1-3"/2-4" before a changeover on the weekend.
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2" on the ground, now sleet
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GFS a really nice thump before any possible turnover to sleet
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NWS going with 3-5" for southern 1/3 of region and 5" - 7" for northern 2/3...reasonable with some upside potential (NAM)
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Close to 1" QPF for N/C NJ and 0.75" for almost all of the region, close to 100% snow for Rt.80 N and 75% snow Rt.78 N, this verbatim is very impactful storm with warning levels
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NAM through hour 33, all snow north of TTN....4-8"
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Yup, the GFS type thump and go of 3-5" for the area is very possible, with material snow falling in 4-5 hours
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Around 5" (70 snow/30 sleet)
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Final Forecast: NYC/EWR- 3.0" (about 50/50 snow-sleet) SMQ- 3.5" (about 50/50 snow-sleet) MMU- 4.5" (about 70/30 snow/sleet) HPN- 5.5" (about 80/20 snow sleet) There is 1"-2"upside potential to these numbers depending on how different waves interact, thump timing, cold intrusion (now occuring), etc. with little downside potential from these totals.
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Looks like NWS New York right on with general 3-6" around the metro so far with some sleet as well given all morning guidance.
