Jump to content

Northof78

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    441

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Northof78

  1. Northof78
    Most models now seem to be honing in on another band/max precip axis in NE NJ/NYC/W LI
  2. Northof78
    Wow on the NAM...actually looks like N NJ and NYC in one of the better zones overall again....further S/E and colder...1.5”+ LE for most...
  3. Northof78
    WSW for 12" - 16" for W Essex...not bad, WSW for 12" - 20" for N/C NJ in Somerset County....45mph gusts....near blizzard conditions.
  4. Northof78
    Wow, NAM....100% better....the warmest model now gives NE NJ/NYC 8" - 13"...
  5. Northof78
    So all 12z Models for NE NJ/NYC: NAM: 7" - 11" RGEM: 8" - 12" UKIE: 9" - 13" GFS: 11" - 16" EURO: 12" -16" Tell me again, why are people upset?!
  6. Northof78
    For central/south LI, yes...
  7. Northof78
    So far for NE NJ/NYC: NAM: 7" - 10" RGEM: 9" - 12" GFS: 12" - 18" Not too shabby....
  8. Northof78
    GFS really nice for the metro, probably 12" - 18" for most...
  9. Northof78
    Is that the warmest panel?
  10. Northof78
    Agreed, extremely similar to this storm with a ~ 30-50 mile shift north...
  11. Northof78
    Any mixing issues seem to be due to progged dryslot, lack of lift, very light precip...not overall warming
  12. Northof78
    NAM quite cold, still odd precip shield, but 850s dont get above 0F down to Toms River area...and I have to say with this strong of a block/confluence, the heaviest precip that far from the low seens suspect to me
  13. Northof78
  14. Northof78
    Not much to speak of N of the NJ/NY line...even north of Rt.80 QPF drops off quickly...
  15. Northof78
    RGEM actually has all of LI over a foot, just a weird dry slot over the city...
  16. Northof78
    1.5” to 2.0” for most of the region....
  17. Northof78
    Looks like 12” to 18” area wide...
  18. Northof78
    850s at -6 or -7, maybe somewhere you can get some sleet from intensity...but overall hell of a run
  19. Northof78
  20. Northof78
    NAM way south/colder and a bomb for many...
  21. Northof78
    GFS really squashes northern precip shield, really nice hit for the metro...
  22. Northof78
    12" - 17" for NE NJ with gusts to 45mph per WSW
  23. Northof78
    NAM probably with ratios, moved roughly in line with other models with the colder/east shift. Probably shows 12" or so for most of the region.
  24. Northof78
    NAM well S/E and much colder...not sure on QPF yet
  25. Northof78
    Now every model is in almost perfect agreement for 12" - 18" almost area wide...very nice
×
×
  • Create New...