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Everything posted by Northof78
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Prob 1-2’ per the NAM, widespread 1.5” to 2” QPF
- 2,426 replies
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- heavy snow
- ice pellets
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Although not a gimme, I would be shocked if the centerpoint of heaviest snowfall did'nt drift north over next 2 - 2.5 days, similar to Dec storm (and most others)
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GFS south, but still good for the forum
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Snow-ice-rain for the NYC forum 7PM Mon 1/25-6AM Wednesday 1/27
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Early, but N/C NJ to me looks like 3-6/4-8” -
Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1st batch done, was a nice burst with essentially 100% snow, 0.8” -
Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Heavy snow continues with massive flakes, about 3/4” on the ground -
Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Heavy snow now, about 1”/hr. with huge flakes... -
Timing is very good, and most of subforum outside of high density NYC forecast to get down to upper 20s/low 30s tonight, not sure surface is that much of an issue
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NAM will be very interesting for some/most on the sub forum, LI def included...most of this Rt.78/80 north is frozen...
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Northof78 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Northof78 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
GFS close to nice setup for Jan 4/5, with cold (not arctic; but cold) high in southern Canada, 50/50 low, and robust coastal low...still less than a 50/50 chance, but certainly looking better and should be on the radar. -
Breezy, with occasional gusts to between 30-35mph
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- damaging wind
- flooding rains
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Northof78 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Keep an eye on that one...interesting -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
EWR 11" NYC 10" Official Latest Numbers (should be close, if not final) not too shabby for mid Dec...- 1,011 replies
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- heavy snow
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- 3,762 replies
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model time essentially done, very cold/dry air locked in place, storm coming up coast...enjoy all!
- 3,762 replies
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Dew points in low and mid single digits across the region....impressive airmass and very important.
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Seems to be growing trend of snow or rain, very little mix/sleet area...thusly the very tight gradient
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Maybe and hour or so of sleet/mix in the city, rest is snow...on what used to be the warmest/west model...excellent trend for the model over past 3-4 runs.
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