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Everything posted by Northof78
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Gfs prob similar...
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Topic started for 2/5 more minor event, could be 1-3/2-4" for some in the forum... -
Topic started for the Friday (2/5) more minor (but higher confidence) event for some in the region.
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NAM has around 0.3" to 0.4" QPF with 850s below 0C for most through event.
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Is there a snow map for this run? -
So if I was 2.3" ish QPF, 100% snow, and lost no accumulation to melting, is the best estimate of 'true' snowfall is around 23" even though I would say max depth is around 15-18" or so
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TTN and PHL both reporting mod/heavy snow with 0.25 vis
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You can shave 2-4" off of that total as some has already fallen within that, but still good accums should come in...
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New NAM has around 1"/hr. average snows for the entire forum through about 8pm, than lower rates thereafter...
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Agreed, winds really whipping up now...lots of blowing and drfiting
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Seems like any 'rogue' sleet is diminishing with mostly snow taking over, should be accumulating snow for quite a while for most...with bands (albeit weaker) than initial coming in off the ocean...
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Official Obs: (2pm) TTN: Light Snow (1.75) SMQ: Light Snow (?) EWR: Heavy Snow (0.25) CPK: Mod/Heavy Snow (0.25)
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Very heavy snow continues...large flakes, around 1.5"/hr.
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Heavy snow holding on here...no pings yet, about 1.5"/hr. within this intense band
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Mod/Heavy snow continues on the W Essex/Union county line...
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Heavy Snow (around 1.5" - 2"/hr. or so); with approximately 11" - 12" OTG, will measure later.
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CPK (and most area airports) reporting HVY SNOW, CPK down to 0.15 vis
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Heavy snow (around 1.0- 1.5"/hr.) and with about 8.5" -9.0" OTG, ratios looks to be at or above 12:1
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Just from intensity, same thing happened in 1996 for about 1-2 hours
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Heavy snow, measured between 7.5" and 8.0", looking quite historic
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Incredibly heavy snow, roughly 2"/hr., will go out and measure shortly
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