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Everything posted by Northof78
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Lots of rain here, stuck in the mod/heavy rain band all day...and a good amount last night as well, thinking 4-7” is possible when all is done north of 78 in NJ
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Possible Major Winter Storm/Coastal 3/6 - 3/8
Northof78 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
models will flip and flop, and could be a flop, but give me fresh cold air, Neg NAO, and some juiced disturbances in March, and I’ll take my chances for something good... -
Strong NAO building in with cold air pressing, while a storm attempts to come up the coast produce potential for a significant winter storm for parts of the area 12Z GFS
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OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
At work in Bergen, but looking at home camera looks to be about 2" - 3" and snowing heavily... -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks good for this storm, trending in right direction, now with 2-4” forecasted... -
Looking at all models and the current cold, but ‘staling’ airmass, 2-4” (maybe one stray 5” report in higher elevations) most of Morris, Sussex, W Passaic, N Somerset, Warren, N Hunterdon, 1-3” W Essex, W Union, S/C Somerset, most of Bergen, C-1” NYC and all other areas
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Was this February everyone #1 February over the past 20-30 years? Still a little to go, with likely full coverage wall to wall with snowcover, a 16” -30” HECS, 1-2 SECS, and 1-2 smaller storms...it’s up there
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Probably about 0.5” new today, for about 4” for this storm total....41” for the season; a total of 29 days season snowcover; 20 consecutive days now -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Very light snow falling -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like for the NYC Metro 2-4" from round 1 and then maybe another 1-3" over the next 18 hours for a total of 4"-7" or so. But in C & C/S NJ, they could be looking for a storm total of around a foot, with 8-10" alone from round 1. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes, this will bust high for you and possibly others in NJ -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looking at radar, I would say somewhere in NJ sees 6-8” from wave 1 alone...very impressive look all the way back to WV and SW -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Small flakes but very dense snow, moderate overall, already a quick coating/0.25” OTG -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light snow has started here... -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
New nam back to an inch of total QPF for most of the region with both waves, and a nice hit from wave 1 alone -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Warnings up for most of PHL zones.... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NAM now has long duration storm though...not ending till Fri night... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sounds like EURO would be 5-9" if that cold/ratios even with 0.4" - 0.6" QPF.... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hate to say it, but this is one of the more obvious outcome storms seen in a while 6-9" seems very high confidence for most of metro regardless of model almost