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Northof78

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Everything posted by Northof78

  1. Northof78
    12Z NAM continues way south with suppression more of an issue
  2. Northof78
    Looks like 3-6" type event for Metro north of Rt.78 or so
  3. Northof78
    18Z NAM....book it
  4. Northof78
    Very early to get a sense from the NAM, but looks quite promising at the last frame for a good metro storm, looks roughly in line or a touch south of latest GFS.
  5. Northof78
    New GFS about as classic as its gets for metro snowstorm
  6. Northof78
    Latest EURO, GFS give the NYC Metro advisory or warning level snows, others more mix. But the liklihood of a signficant winter storm is high.
  7. Northof78
    GFS pretty widespread 2-3" for almost all in the forum, a little more in coastal C NJ
  8. Northof78
    Seems like for the most part the GFS/EURO have been left in the dust with recent storms in terms of being way to supressed/weak. 2-4 days prior to this past storm the fear was light precip and out to sea with little or no coastal, in the end the most snow fell in VT with the metro getting a lot of ice/sleet with tucked in coastal position. Ride the NAM/RGEM/S-T models until they throw you off this winter....
  9. Northof78
    1.2" @ Millburn
  10. Northof78
    EURO a whiff?
  11. Northof78
    Final Prediction: E LI: 1-2" W LI/C NJ Coast: 1-3" NYC/C NJ/NE NJ (inland): 2 - 4" W NJ/ S NY State: 3 - 6"
  12. Northof78
    2-4/3-5"?
  13. Northof78
    GFS/EURO horrible with this storm compares with NAM/RGEM, GFS basically has a coastal hugger at this point with significant precip...borderline warning storm for just inland
  14. Northof78
    12z NAM true coastal...
  15. Northof78
    Nam verbatim is a decent coastal storm with moderate/borderline warning accums inland, light accums at coast, probably too amped, but that is the trend
  16. Northof78
    Looks to be potential for a coating - locally 2" North and very highs winds with arctic front passage tomorrow....
  17. Northof78
    I have a flight as well late the 19th, where you heading...
  18. Northof78
    NAM looks really nice for Tuesday...3-5" through hour 84 for entire forum
  19. Northof78
    90% of the time storms get more amped and N/W from 24/36 and out across the model suite (see last snowstorm), so I think we are in pretty good shape here.
  20. Northof78
    https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/59901-january-6th-winter-storm-observations/ Obs thread started
  21. Northof78
    EWR 35/13, nice airmass
  22. Northof78
    Both GFS/NAM strong signal for front end thump of 2-4/3-6" with no CCB/wraparound which sounds reasonable. Should be a nice storm vs. last 2 years of nothing with some period of moderate/heavy snow.
  23. Northof78
    Front end thump with 2-4"/3-6" probably across most of region.
  24. Northof78
  25. Northof78
    NAM 12Z as expected shifted SE/colder and most precip fall as snow w of Hudson with front end thump, 3-6"/4-8" verbatim
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