Northof78

Very light snow here..

When was the last time we had a northeaster off the coast with a dual structure like that?

I agree...

18Z NAM better initially, than goes back to weird double low structure, still as is 6-12" for most of NYC metro verbatim, but only about 20-30 miles from 12" -18" (NJ coast & C/E LI)

I like the precip development inland over the carolinas...

Still snowing, but sun is out...so most all surfaces just wet

Although snow coming down at better clip, not really sticking any longer with sun/temps prob just above freezing

Moderate snow at the moment, nice size flakes

Overall everything still looks on track, GFS improved but also with double barrel, if we can knock that out, monster...if not 6-10"

NAM in reality without the double barrel probable confusion would have been EURO/SREF like, I think that is resolved next model run...even still not a bad storm

SREF was more than tick I’d say...would bring 10-12” to the delaware

Impressive thread/threat start! Congrats

Dusting here, light snow continues

Very Light snow Has begun @ of 7:15 AM

Obs thread started as snow is starting in C/W NJ

Cloudy here, but snow has begun across C and W NJ, were off!

Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno STATEMENT FROM BERNIE RAYNO (LOL, I always wanted to write that): I have seen this many times in the past. You ride the NAM on this, it isn't perfect and will likely be overdone in some areas, but overall it will out perform the GFS and EURO. Twitter live at 5:45 am. 4:41 AM · Jan 28, 2022·Twitter Web App

Very large move with the GFS to essentially meet the other models at this point, now just a matter of how clean the storm is or more strung out...but snow is coming...

WS Watches extended west in NJ

Correct, it is cold at 850 as well with our relation to the storm position well to our S/E and with little overrunning lower ratios

With the cold we have here on the backend of a CCB 12-13:1 should be realized

12Z NAM, Kuchera, major storm for almost all on the forum.

Close to 0.9" QPF in NYC of the NAM, with some ratio, should be 10" - 12" in CPK

NAM should be 8-12" for most of the region, outside of C/E LI with more