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Everything posted by Northof78
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We are currently in a very cold area of Earth History....Enjoy it, no matter what the Earth should mean revert to warmer temperatures after coming out of the ice age/abnormally cold period, but we are still well below long term averages.
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GFS continues a stormy and cold pattern through the entire period.
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As it should, historically (looking back over 100,000's of years) we are currently in roughly the 80th percentile of cold vs. warm (80% of the time the world was warmer than current). Over periods of time it should normally warm off these levels and the ice caps should melt, if the past repeats itself, does man have a meaningful impact to the natural course of the warming (if there is a statistically signifcant one), no way we can say with certainty.
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Looks like chance of a very minor to 1" - 2" snowfall this Sunday with upper lever low and some coastal presence
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Gfs now cold through entire run...
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Very interesting, thanks, yes only small shortfalls, and you had to go back 45 - 55 years to find 2 examples, shows you how rare this outcome is!
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Hey ORH, what are up to this weekend so far, it seems from roughly the M/D line south snowfall is above normal, while from M/D through SNE (maybe CNE) remains below normal?
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I wonder if there ever has been a winter in recent times that has been below or @ normal temperatures in each of the winter months (D,J,F) and also in the aggregate for the entire time period, where we have also seen below average snowfall. I cannot think of one. It used to be if you could predict overall temperature anomaly of the winter you would predict snowfall as well....not this one
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
About 1" , very light snow- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice 2-4" event for most in heavy daytime fashion- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Border of E MD/PA reporting 1" - 1.5" rates almost immediately, 1" in 45 mins on ground near Manchester- 475 replies
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Should be a classic Gulf of America Miller A