IowaStorm05
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Everything posted by IowaStorm05
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I feel like this can back up a bit in the final count down and stretch down to Close to willi. We are close enough to see that warm enhancement. -
Kinda maybe on some models. Def At least the N trend has stopped. But I think the 6z Canadian has either amplified, or just brings the jackpot back a bit east from PA to NJ/NYC/WCT.
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And 6z NAM comes in still quite south
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In climo and memory Warwick is sort of a common borderline... mixed, not as much snow as Foster/Woonsocket etc. But if you’re in Westerly you’re in trouble
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My intuition: Those clowny 4 foot plots could actually nudge into SNE in subsequent runs
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Oh ya. Canadian 00z come way southeast and way juiced up
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I thought it was Janie. Or Dani
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That is an extremely warm/N solution being adopted
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It would make sense to me if it was more NW. In a perfect or at least expected world, all the outlying loner models drift closer to one another before the system arrives
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Usually not much of a valley curse area like CT River valley and other places, but my town is in a small scale valley and river and I like how the models remind me of it often:
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Well at least the experimentally long range HRRR takes a southern Coastal Special track!
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Earlier today I was poo poo ing model output, namely the Canadian, showing a nearly vertically tilted rain/snow line. I was used to lesser angle or more horizontal slope from SW to NE. But I was wrong after googling Various historical snowstorms, some showed quite vertically inclined SSW To NNE rain/snow lines.
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Kinda. But more or less but at this point one has to wonder, which of the following is more common? reality heavily veering toward one of these disagreeing models, or does it blend and average out of all of them. as recent as years 2016-2017, maybe even more recent, I can remember significant model disagreement right up to the starting hour where forecaster goes for “blend”
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NAM coming in and so far it ain’t lookin north like the others.
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I appear to be quite close to the southwestern edge of predictions of the eastern jackpot that shows up on some of these model runs.
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The reason the latest NAM makes the most sense to me is not just because it’s wishful thinking. Its because it behaves the least weirdly.
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This solution is more vertical in latitudinal behavior than I’m used to seeing though. Crush in NYC and mix in S Maine? I don’t like it. But that’s ok, because I don’t trust it hahaha
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I don’t think the 12 z “RDPS” is going to verify. I expect it will tick SE
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Oh. Ewwwwwwww. You’re dang right I hate to see it. This is bad. Only saving grace is that it’s that far into that model.
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Don’t want to distract too much about stock prices and that sort. I’ve never had the kind of money to really play that stuff. But I couldn’t help notice how dead the Western US section of americanwx is. Like they get cool storms out there just as well. what gives? Does it need to be broken up into smaller sections? Do westerners use something else to chat?
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A slow bleed
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Moment of clarity shaking down to 7-11 for a day-old wiener.
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Often. But not always.
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So many people I meet out here are like “it snows in Reno Nevada??!?!? I be like... ya. It does.
