Last few model runs have shown a more amplified downstream ridge
and have thus trended back northwest with a potentially very
powerful coastal storm Sun night into Mon. That being said,
these trends moreso serve to underscore the run-to-run
variability as this is a Day 4-5 forecast, which is an eternity
in the model world. If these trends continue as much of the
guidance suggests, then there may be a period of perhaps
significant impacts Sunday night into Monday. Plenty of time
here and the model trends will be very important over the next
48 hours. Not much more we can say at this point, but it is way
too early to write this one off and it still bears watching.