ineedsnow

18z GFS came west a bit still ots but big changes.. GEFS further west so far by a good bit

@CT Rain GenCast is an AI-powered weather forecasting model developed by Google DeepMind that uses a diffusion model to generate probabilistic 15-day global forecasts

GENC it's all the new AI crap I think

While unlikely we watch!

Jamaica gone on the Euro.. meh for everything up here.. .25 to .50 of qpf through hr330

Almost every eps member at 6z is west of the op for melissa.. coastal looks to be a given

Either way.. odds increasing for a big storm at the end of the week

a few EPS

ensembles are very interesting.. GEFS, EPS, FNV3, and GENC all have members turning in and hitting now

hopefully next week

either its going to be king or one of these runs its going to flop.. GEFS are mostly west of the op

I don't think I've even seen one model forecast above 195kts

Holy shit!! There we go

Andy Hazelton @AndyHazelton · 55m If #Melissa does end up turning west over the Caribbean south of Jamaica (like the HAFS/HMON/Euro forecasts show), I don't think it's hyperbolic to say we will likely get a Category 5, and quite possibly one of the strongest storms ever recorded in the Atlantic. -Deep, warm

Yup and I really think this could be a threat up here.. not even wish casting.. the flooding could be insane for them

It could

Some of the AI members would be

We watch!

GEFS have been way west of the op not sure why?

maybe 0z will be good again

also pretty cold on the CMC

0z Canadian is a hit

EPS is interesting though.. I've seen two tornadoes in my life so can't say none

Or not gets kicked out