ineedsnow

There's a chance this could be a pretty big short term bust if more convection doesnt fire soon

I don't think it will looking at how everything is trending

Ya not even close to what models show.. weird

Wifey said its a complete whiteout.. I wish I went but couldn't get the time off low forming Just off the coast?

soooo jealous of wifey.. shes in Jacksonville NC visiting family and they are getting crushed!

ya that was a huge jump Cape crushed

Got down to 1 so far.. we meh

Ice jams galore this spring?

6z NAM gets the cape good again

About a 25 mile shift west on the ICON cape looks good

18z HRRR took a huge jump west but was really far east at 12z.. If I was in eastern MA I would still be watching this closely for something bigger.

That's the thing could models be overdoing it? models have been showing low development all over.. IDK seems we might have some surprises coming.. I also think we have to see where convection forms before models really latch on.. whether that means further OTS or further west.. we wait....

something just feels off with this storm..

if that Bahama low wasn't stronger than 12z I think this NAM run might have been really good for eastern areas