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PerintonMan

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Everything posted by PerintonMan

  1. PerintonMan
    "centimetres" oh my god it's adorable
  2. PerintonMan
    Hmm, looks like models are latching onto a significant dry slot over the Finger Lakes. That bubble of lower totals extends above the northern tip of the lakes, but there isn't any sleet or ZR there. If that dry slot is more pronounced than modeled, could take ROC into bust territory. Hopefully not.
  3. PerintonMan
    I would take that, but I'm getting nervous about dry-slot issues (not so much mix) IMBY in SE Monroe. In the back of my mind I can easily envision a 6-hour thump that passes through quickly, with banding remaining to the west, but nothing else but scraps from ROC-SYR.
  4. PerintonMan
    I think ROC is still OK, but we're out of margin for error at this point.
  5. PerintonMan
    I'm kind of with you here. Feel bad for SYR on south and east, but the NW trend seems to be working out OK for ROC on these runs.
  6. PerintonMan
    I don't know, man. A low near Philly should not be having mixing issues all the way into the Finger Lakes.
  7. PerintonMan
    Houston and New Orleans. It's insane.
  8. PerintonMan
    I think ROC is going to be safe from taint, but dry slot seems like it's now a concern (what else is new) after this looked rock solid for days.
  9. PerintonMan
    I don't want to jinx it but I absolutely love where ROC is for the first storm. Models have been extremely consistent and is in a very robust location for handling NW or SE trends.
  10. PerintonMan
    That's about a few dozen model runs in a row that have shown ~10" for ROC through Wednesday. What could go wrong?
  11. PerintonMan
    I accept terms.
  12. PerintonMan
    That Monroe County band has definitely come south. We were getting snow showers, now it's really picked up. Big flakes, probably 1"/hr type stuff. We'll see how long it lasts.
  13. PerintonMan
    The guy who posted it originally said the track was similar to March 2008.
  14. PerintonMan
    Yeah, "vibes", not a carbon copy. Pronounced comma shape, big plume of moisture with snow on the N/W side, big mix zone (I lived in CT and got hammered by sleet before it changed over), line of thunderstorms stretching past Florida. A lot of similarities. Of course, it'll probably disappear tomorrow.
  15. PerintonMan
    Yup. Just gorgeous on the maps.
  16. PerintonMan
    Yeah, hoping we don't have a "cheerleader effect" here where we have a good total projected snowfall with an active pattern, but each individual event is a nickel-dimer that doesn't really pan out.
  17. PerintonMan
    Tell me that doesn't have these kind of vibes...
  18. PerintonMan
  19. PerintonMan
    Link isn't working for me.
  20. PerintonMan
    Ha, nice. What about for a single synoptic event?
  21. PerintonMan
    Bring that on a beeline through Albany and we're in business. By the way, I'm just curious, what's the most insane synoptic setup this board has ever seen modeled? Forget whether it was 2 days out or 2 weeks. What's the craziest thing the models have spit out? Like a 960 low over NYC? A 48" in 24 hour event? Show me some model p*rn.
  22. PerintonMan
    About 10" snowpack as of yesterday, just getting a bit crusty on top with melting and re-freezing. Another dusting this morning.
  23. PerintonMan
    Seeing this and nothing else, looks like a classic Miller B going through the 40/70 benchmark.
  24. PerintonMan
    lol, nearly all of them have a hole right over ROC
  25. PerintonMan
    Had 5-6" when I snowblowed at 10 pm last night, found another 3" or so this morning, probably about 9" total for the event, which is actually pretty close to what the models had, even if it was looking dicey for a bit.
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