There is definitely cold air left over, what seems to be over most of North America, but not bitterly cold either. There doesn't really seem to be a reload mechanism either, especially after the equinox. So fingers crossed we roll right into Spring by the end of the month
So are we going to get 3 inches of sleet? Of course if the Euro is right. It won't much matter, but the sleet single is pretty strong around here at the moment.
Euro is not what it used to be, so at this point it is a wait and see how things shake out over the next 24 hrs....If all models look like the Euro at some point and hold the look, then maybe it is correct. But I have seen the Euro be wrong and sometimes way wrong more often recently. So I will take the GFS ensembles at this point and just hope they are right....Lol
Just going to post this....going back the last 4 runs, a noticeable push from the building confluence. Long range meso models unable to recognize this feature well?
Lol, look at that Fairfield county cutoff here in CT. Otherwise that is double digits for most of the state. Impressive if the GFS actually has a clue...
So is it that deep trough coming into California at the same time causing this to run so far west? The block up in Greenland is quite impressive with a pinwheeling 50/50. One would think this wouldn't be able to gain so much latitude, so early on. Or is the block just too early to have any effect on this particular system?
984 mb low into SW Michigan is not going to bode well for most of SNE besides some frozen early on....who knows, maybe it doesn't have a clue at this point
CMC has a warm layer around 800 mb, around 12z Saturday.. .otherwise the column is pretty chilly even down here. Hopefully it is right, it bodes well for those to our north.
Ha, yes they are...there is a warm layer around 800, sleet at the height...mostly snow for northern CT here it is like a few inches, sleet, then ends as some snow
Ha, fair enough...I also agree, but the blues aren't as exciting as purples and pinks...Lol
Snow has actually started flying here, quite windy too, wasn't expecting that.
34/23 atm