Spanks45

So what are the odds the GFS shows a hit between now and 0z?...

Almost half an inch so far, temp down to 26.2⁰....nice moderate snow falling, groth isn't too bad at this point

dusting already, didn't take long, flurries to moderate pretty quickly

Flakes just started here.....28.6/20 Hoping for 2-4 to pad that stats and hopefully solidify what we have before the rain tomorrow

got a love the redevelopers in the long range, but wait the pattern flips to spring and they end up elevation dependent.....

just going to mention again...almost guaranteed this was going to happen

It won't be long until those are phased together, complete with the coal.....

Smell the taint here, yet still remain snow....perfect, but certainly a bit tucky for our liking

Thing of beauty there.....sign us all up for that

Hope I'm wrong, but this might be the time when the GFS makes a move towards the Euro suite, but then within the hour, the Euro makes a bigger leap towards the GFS. In the end we will be arguing which model was better despite their stark differences at day 6....

stubborn they are,,,.they have been on multiple occasions and I am still shoveling the snow they claimed we were getting. I still think we need to wait until our current storm is past us until we can get a better idea

resolution too high for 4-5 days out?

Definitely more EOR on that run...but we will definitely get the 'fluff' factor out this way there....

Not as exciting as 0z, but still has a storm....good enough for now, I think everyone is beginning to hang their hats on the Euro.

Thanks! Spring training time in my books, especially if Thursday fails...

it also shows you the concern us in Southbury specifically fear......

GFS almost there...you can almost argue the low chased convection off the OBX and should have a low where the Euro has it.....

I might be wrong, it may completely fold at 12z....

Looks like better interaction around hr 90

Yeah if you loop the last 4 runs, you can see the subtle shifts taking place.....might not be this run, but by 0z tonight?

So as of now the GFS is on its own? Man what a victory lap it could take if it somehow comes out on top....

I actually want this 'pack' gone...there is a solid 2 inches of ice in many spots, foot prints look like fossils from dinosaurs. Quite dangerous taking the dog out. The south facing parts of the yard are mostly gone though....start fresh on Thursday

Yeah, I wanna see some flinches by the GFS in the next 24 hrs. I have noticed with the GFS, especially this year. It becomes stubborn once it latches on to a solution. It did this in January, when every other model showed a miss for the most part. On the other hand despite a few Euro OP runs, it was mostly ots and never wavered. The the GFS started to buckle and eventually caved. Now here we are, the roles are reversed, but the Euro has support this time from its own ensembles and other guidance. The GFS has the, icon? Not saying this is coming yet, I think we need to get this weekend's storm figured out in the models before we can get a better consensus. This storm tomorrow isn't some 1005 low coming through, it's a rapidly deepening system that will probably have some affect down stream to our system on Thursday....

I heard some birds chirping the past couple days that I haven't in a while. My maple trees have also doubled their production....nature knows

I mean, it sort of reminds of how it used to be tracking coastal storms. GFS is ots, the CMC is amped, and the Euro is somewhere in the middle...then the JMA comes to break the tie. We shall see, might need to see how deep this weekend's system ends up and where it goes. The CMC is turning the cover 5 days from now...it really isn't that far off.