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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    Just looked outside and have some flurries flying, first of the season...30.9 atm
  2. Spanks45
    Read an article that said to leave the leaves on the ground. Gives the insects a place to hibernate. Ah, no. yeah, I hear ticks love to have warm and cozy places to sleep....I remove all leaves and cut the grass extra short at the end of the year, everything you are not suppose to do, but no ticks>green grass
  3. Spanks45
    Thats good to hear, hopefully the trend continues...I saw this morning that the AO continues to push negative, more a positive PNA and even a hint of a -NAO (obviously voodoo at this point) but at least it is something. It would be nice to see something the first week of December for the first time in 15 years?!?!
  4. Spanks45
    Wasting cold air in early November, sadly it might be our coldest air until January/February... The second half of November and most of December look pretty fairly warm. I can see why some are panicking already, writing off December already.
  5. Spanks45
    Thanks....down to 39, she has a nice ice cream treat waiting for her if she gets it!
  6. Spanks45
    I had my kids pick on October 15th the dates of the first snowflakes and the first inch of snow measured....Today was my daughter's pick for the first flakes of the season, hoping for her sake we can at least see a few mangled flakes mixed in. Not bad for an 8 year old....
  7. Spanks45
    Besides the snow talk, are the temperatures even realistic on the 18z GFS? It has 850 temps near -19°C on Wednesday! Kinda nuts for November 13th....
  8. Spanks45
    Front just went through here....46 to 41 in 10 minutes with gusty winds, hoping to see the first flakes of the season!
  9. Spanks45
    knowing what it was showing for our FROPA today in that 4-5 day time frame, I will take its current look...It looked as though the cold was pressing further south and east around day 4, onto 0z....
  10. Spanks45
    At least the GFS solution sort of makes sense at this point. Nothing historical, just a light to moderate snow event for the middle of November....
  11. Spanks45
    For what ever reason, the 6z and 18z Euro runs were flatter early on. I wonder if there has been any accuracy tests against its own 0z and 12z runs. They definitely seemed to contradict eachother with this particular system...
  12. Spanks45
    I think someone pointed out a day or 2 ago that the Ukie was really flat while the Euro was dumping 1-2 feet of snow up north with a "deepening" low pressure...That really might be a good sign that the Euro is out to lunch despite it's own ensemble support? Obviously it won't happen every time, but something to store away for later on.... Obviously we still have a couple days to go, but it seems more FROPA at this point....
  13. Spanks45
    GFS cold bias giving hope where there is none? If this is true, it is going to wreak havoc this winter in borderline situations...
  14. Spanks45
    My wife works in Tarrytown, right off of Sawmill. I had her leave 1 hour before the snow started....Some of her co-workers ended up spending the night or were stuck for hours on the highway.
  15. Spanks45
    Perfectly clear day causes nightmares on 84..Looks like winter around here now, so lets get some early snowfall as long as it doesn't jinx us the rest of the season.
  16. Spanks45
    I am 18 miles almost due north from Bridgeport and I pulled off 35ish inches last year....amazing how much of a difference such a short distance makes around here!
  17. Spanks45
    27.7, 27.6, and 26.4 this morning three days in a row here as well...Most of the leaves are gone now too so it definitely has that winter look and feel.
  18. Spanks45
    36.0 here, radiating well so far...
  19. Spanks45
    It was more in jest, but good know. Definitely don't want any bad luck with this winter. Last year was a bit painful after having 8 inches on November 15th only to hobble our way to another 25ish inches the rest of the season....
  20. Spanks45
    It worked last year...just as long as it is less than 6 inches we should be good!
  21. Spanks45
    27.7, first 20s of the season here....last October featured 4 nights in the mid 20s despite the entire month's torch. Crazy that this year waited until November to get there.....
  22. Spanks45
    36.8 already...first night below 30 incoming it seems.
  23. Spanks45
    And then the EURO with a 985 mb straight through the Great lakes...at least now we can all see the EURO when it crushes all hope this winter.
  24. Spanks45
    Lol, It snows for over 48 hrs straight around the area once it gets here....I guess it does show there is some potential if that cold is for real next weekend.
  25. Spanks45
    The GFS at hour 240 looks nice, too bad it is the GFS.....at 240.....
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