WinterWxLuvr

Agreed but it’s close

GFS would seem to be on a similar path to 12z. Early though

Keep vigilant for carpenter bees. If they are around those woodpeckers will stop at nothing to get at them. That includes deck boards and siding.

Probably a good thing

Be careful what you wish for.

Light snow here

Lol, totals went down on a total snowfall map at a later time stamp. Shows how useful they are Edit: different maps, same dumbass poster. Carry on

Yep. And sunscreen

Happy New Year

Torch

Now you guys have done it … ‘93. ‘Nuff said

Your wife might get a laugh out of that one

In the Jan 2010 event, the confluence was modeled way too strong and a storm that was supposed to give us flurries gave us 7” here 24 hours later. It works both ways.

It’s better. Suppress it 75 more miles and it’s on. To be fair, I don’t think we have a clue at this point.

Changes early, affects the 4th … affects the weekend?

Great point.

There are no shifts this far out. There’s will likely be a storm. Hoping for consistency with model runs is a dream

Shooting west of the Apps seems definitely on the table

People will always fret even at long range but I took one look at your map and my 1st thought was a low is unlikely to be there. It’s just not a path I see them take. I’d say in that setup it either goes flat across NC and further south or it shoots west and then jumps.

It’s certainly intriguing

Caveat Emptor

We are talking about two different things. I’m not talking about heights relative to normal. Draw a curve from Montana down to Texas around and up to the Carolina coast. That’s what I mean by a broad trough. These troughs that look like a cucumber from Wisconsin down to Ga and back up to Mass ain’t gonna do it. For one they get booted out easily. They last a day. Broad troughs give you a supply of cold to our nw that can get tapped. It also leaves room for secondary development on the tail end of fronts that do sweep through. Just my take.

I don’t agree. If you want consistent cold and chances for small events that will work. Those deep troughs in the se might get you a big storm once in a blue moon but not most of the time is my experience

We always did that years ago. One med/long range thread, one short range

@Ji