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jculligan

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by jculligan

  1. Incredible wind with persistent flurries and occasional snow showers that have been enough to put down the lightest dusting so far. I'm impressed with the temperature drop here - down to 25 which isn't too shabby for 2pm on the second day of November! 03z-09z tonight looks fun. Feeling good about finally scoring my first accumulation. The snow squall parameter looks very good on the BTV 4km WRF, so I expect many of us outside of the favored upslope areas will wake up to a coating to 2" come tomorrow morning.
  2. Actually getting some decent snow showers here now, though obviously nothing in comparison to what powderfreak is posting. Nice wintry appeal to the morning either way. 33/27 with flakes flying and a biting wind.
  3. Jealous of the Vermonters this morning. Cold and windy with some stray flakes flying around here, but obviously I wasn't expecting much in my location. The signal continues to look good for squalls tonight, so I'm thinking we could have some fun in the 11pm-2am timeframe. Good luck to the usual suspects, and please continue to post pics!
  4. Could not have asked for a better day in the alpine yesterday; I summited Mount Adams around 10:30am and could see clear to the Atlantic Ocean! I've been up there a bunch, but I have never seen such unlimited visibility before. It was 16 degrees with a wind averaging in the 15-20 mph, so I didn't snap too many pics as my hands got cold fast. Definitely looks like an interesting couple of days up here. Again, I don't expect much (if anything) from the upslope event here in Jackson though I am interested in seeing how the Froude number applies here in the Whites. It continues to look like there is pretty good Windex potential tomorrow night as that second impulse swings through, so if we're finally going to whiten the ground in my location this is probably our best shot. Pic below is from the summit of Mount Adams looking toward Mount Madison yesterday morning.
  5. Impressively cold October morning here. My spot isn't phenomenal for radiational cooling, but 19 degrees is pretty good for 10/31 especially without snowpack. I don't anticipate I'll get much out of the Monday/Tuesday round, although the models do seem to be suggesting occasionally more than just your typical upslope event. It almost has the look of an inverted trough with steep low level lapse rates and a definite WINDEX component, so I think there is the possibility for some fun even outside of the usual suspect locations. That said...I'm really psyched for the northern Greens and I even think the area from Franconia over to the western slopes of the Presidentials could do quite well. I fully expect to see someone risking a season-ending injury to ski the Cog with no base on Tuesday lol. Heading up into the alpine today, but I snapped this pic from Black Mountain Road in Jackson yesterday. Starting to look quite nice up there.
  6. About 1" of snow on the summit of South Moat (2770') this morning. It was interesting hiking from the snow-covered summit back down into the rusty orange oak trees at the bottom of the mountain, where there was no snow. Definitely a feel of winter out there today!
  7. Ended up with a very slight dusting here in Jackson, but not enough to measure. Heading up above 2500' for a hike before work - will post pics!
  8. Still 36/34 here with the back edge of "phase one" only an hour or two away. I think it's pretty clear at this point it's a done deal below 2k feet. Congrats to locations farther south with "round two" from late tonight into tomorrow morning, but we'll definitely be too far north to cash in on that. I'm hiking a 2700' peak before work tomorrow morning, so it'll be interesting to see what I find up there. Anyway, I suppose it's onto Monday now for most of us northerners!
  9. I think Monday and Tuesday are going to be quite a harsh pair of days for early November. H85 temps down to -17C is approaching the limit of what I have personally ever seen during the first few days of November. I mentioned this the other night, but I think the setup is quite good for an early season upslope event in the Greens and possibly down to the notches of NH as well. The gfs does hint at a clipper-type system embedded within the flow for Monday night, which could bring snow even to the non-upslope locations...and not a typical autumn snow consistency either. As for right now...we continue to slowly creep downward in the temp department. 37/35 with steady rain continuing here. I would imagine it's snowing at the top of Doublehead, as the MWN vertical temp profile shows the freezing level down to about 2300' right now. Hopefully we flip soon...
  10. 41/36 with a steady rain falling here at 1500' in Jackson. Looks like H925 temps are progged to drop to 0C by 4pm so we should be seeing a pretty quick drop and flip to snow within the next 90 minutes or so. Then it's a question of how long we can hold onto the moisture. I have to admit, I'm not feeling a great outcome with this one up here. Hopefully my elevation will help, but I'm wondering if the valley sees any accumulation at all before the moisture moves out. Most of the QPF is likely done by 8-9pm so. Meanwhile, the setup looks increasingly good for my old place down in Natick MA. Imagine moving up to 1500' in the Whites only to miss the first substantial snowfall back in the flatlands. The irony!!
  11. We've been getting steady light snow since about 9am today, and there was even a slight coating on leaves (those that are left) and branches up until around noon. I took a drive down the hill shortly after noon, and there was no hint of accumulation as close as the base of Black Mountain which is only 200' lower than my cabin. It seems that 1400-1500' is really the cutoff today. Currently 34F with the steadiest snow of the day, but no longer accumulating and our coating from earlier is gone.
  12. While most of the "buzz" over the last two days has been focused on the synoptic system that is likely to bring the first widespread measurable snowfall to a good chunk of the region Thursday night into Friday morning...I must say I am rather impressed by the FROPA and potential Windex event that may follow for Sunday night into Monday morning. This obviously favors the Greens more than the Whites, though with steep lapse rates and fairly deep moisture in the surface to H7 layer I wouldn't rule out a period of accumulating snow down to the Notches in New Hampshire late Sunday night. Nice to have at least a couple more opportunities for some early season flakes over the next 6-7 days.
  13. Nothing here yet, and the echoes appear to be drying up on radar. We're essentially at the same elevation, but Crawford Notch and the surrounding 4k peaks may have been a catcher's mitt in this instance. I can even see stars.
  14. Hey Mitch! Yes, I remember our overlap...good to hear from you! We've definitely had some good CAD days already in the last week. It held in the 30s all day yesterday before briefly spiking into the mid 40s last night. I have a Davis Vantage Vue that I'm trying to get connected to Wunderground, so hopefully I can begin broadcasting my data. I think the average annual snowfall here is in the neighborhood of 90-95" but that's based primarily on the past few seasons of observations from nearby Black Mountain, so who knows how accurate that actually is. Upslope will be minimal to non-existent here (wrong side of the notches) but we should do quite well from coastal storms and I would imagine this is a very good spot for SWFEs. We'll probably be one of the very last locations to warm up. I anticipate many a 3-6"/4-8" snowfall followed by hours of -FZRA/-FZDZ while temps surge all around us haha. That cold air loves to get wedged into this elevation band on the eastern slope!!
  15. You've got it! I worked on air for three years at WBNG-TV in Binghamton. I made the difficult decision to leave the wx business shortly after my stint there, so now I'm a meteorologist by degree but no longer working in the field professionally. I couldn't be more excited to be living in the White Mountains now. For the last ten years I have been your classic "weekend warrior" making the 2+ hour trek north every weekend, but my company's permanent shift to remote work allowed me to relocate this summer. I am an obsessive hiker/skier (mostly backcountry) and with North Doublehead literally in my backyard, I can skin right from my property. Really hoping for a good year up here!!
  16. Hi everyone! It's been several years since I've been active on this page - in fact so many years that I couldn't recover my old password due to a retired email account, and therefore had to create a new profile lol. I'm formerly kulaginman and I'm actually a "red tagger" (graduated from the Plymouth State meteorology program about 15 years ago). In any event, I'd like to contribute to this page once again and I recently moved to a tiny place at an elevation of 1500' on the shoulder of North Doublehead Mountain in Jackson, NH...so this could be a very interesting meteorological location. I'm about a mile away from Black Mountain Ski Resort. Hoping for the first weenie flakes in my location tonight (we missed the big event on October 17th which blanketed the other side of the notches). Cheers to a snowy northern New England winter ahead.
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