jculligan

Tagged North Doublehead again this afternoon, just to check out how much snow fell at 3k around here. Not surprisingly, it was absolutely crushed. There was a lot of drifting right on the summit which made it hard to estimate exactly how much fell up there...but I was breaking trail up to my knees on the way up. I passed an ambitious split boarder who can now claim the first descent of Doublehead this season - I'm happy to let the base consolidate before I attempt to ski the woods around here! I think another 200-300' of elevation would have made all the difference at my place. Above 2000' there was definitely a foot of snow imby.

I've been wondering how things transpired on the other side of Crawford Notch! It looked like the heavier echoes were having a hard time getting into your area for the synoptic portion of the event. I'm assuming the bulk of that accumulation was in the post-storm upslope stage, as we suspected would likely be the case.

Interesting that it's been so windy out your way! Our wind was cranking last night, but it dropped off pretty dramatically around daybreak and it's been a relatively calm morning over here. I suspect we may be getting some form of blocking from the Presidentials - definitely still getting to know the local climate of this area. Still holding at 25F with overcast skies and a few flurries flying around. A proper winter day with the snow-caked trees adding to the ambiance.

There's the possibility of a weak clipper-type system moving through Wednesday night...but we're talking really insignificant stuff (coating to 1" deal) for most of us. I'm sure the usual suspects in VT will come in with somewhat higher totals. After that, things look dicey again heading into next weekend with all three globals showing a cutter. The Canadian seems most favorable for some frozen/freezing stuff on the front end as it implies somewhat deeper CAD than the other models - we shall see. Proper cold air returns in the wake of whatever happens next weekend.

I honestly have never paid attention to how snowy that part of NH is before! Thanks for shining a light on this ha. GBA (Granite Backcountry Alliance) has cut some ski glades off Crescent Ridge, and I think I'm now realizing that could be a really sweet place to check out this winter...

Definitely a water-logged snow! Unfortunately I don't have a heated rain gauge, so I won't know the liquid equivalent until temps rise above freezing again. I'm quite surprised we kept our power here, the way the branches were swinging around last night. I haven't ventured more than 30 yards from the cabin yet this morning, but in my super short survey I already found one large limb down across the driveway. I'm planning an afternoon hike up Kearsarge North with a buddy...it'll be interesting to see how much trail maintenance we have to do on the way up.

6" total here. Had the expectations not been higher, this would have been a decent first event. My friend in North Conway proper is reporting less than 1" down in the valley. Glad to have the extra 1000' here

4" now. 31/30.

Cracking sounds have started in the woods outside. It's amazing it only took 2.5" for that to happen. This is some of the most water-logged snow I've seen in a long time, and it is absolutely caked on everything.

2.5" as of 7pm. Finally dropped to 32F. Branches are absolutely caked and really starting to swing around in the increasing gusts. This could be trouble ha.

Wind is really starting to pick up here. Snowing more heavily than it has during the entire event so far. Still 33/31 but we must have a couple inches at least now. I'll measure again at 7:00.

1.2" as of 5pm. Officially the first 1"+ snowfall of the season here.

It's amazing the difference one degree can make. But I could be in the valley, where there is nothing...so I'll take what I have and be grateful ha.

Just got back from hiking North Doublehead. There was about 3.5" to 4" at 3000' with a temp of 30F. Accumulating way more efficiently up there, as one might expect. Still 33/31 here at 1500' with a total of 0.9" so far. Hopefully nightfall combined with the heavier bands pivoting in from the east will help us gain some traction.

33/31 and whitening up here, even beginning on paved surfaces. I'm hiking up the 3k peak in my backyard shortly, so it'll be interesting to see how much more is up there.

Just drove up from the valley. 40F and rain in Jackson Village. 35F and snowing at my place. With diabatic cooling processes, I'm thinking we'll slip down to 32/33 pretty quickly now. Here we go.

Precipitation beginning to pick up a bit, but it's still rain for now. 36/33. I think the steadier stuff moves in around 10am so hopefully we flip in another hour or so.

Started as rain here. 37/33 right now.

Sign me up for the 12z NAM please!! Absolute crush job as the CCB buries itself into the eastern slope and rots in place over the course of tomorrow night. With wind and falling temps that's an all-out blizzard here. Probably overdone, but one can dream.

Yeah the backcountry is "thin" to say the least, and while this storm will be good I don't think it'll be enough for me to be comfortable getting out there. Too many sharks in the water, and I'm definitely not looking to injure myself on the first time out when I will likely be skiing for the next 5-6 months ha. I would definitely anticipate wind issues on Sunday, so if you can bag work on Monday that's probably the better bet. Plus they'll have the guns blasting all day Sunday/Sunday night so it's likely you'll have more open terrain on Monday anyway.

Depends how high you're looking to get! I anticipate a steady 50+ mph above treeline for basically the entire day Sunday. MWN will likely gust 100+ as it often does following these events. Below treeline it'll obviously be much more tame, but I still anticipate many locations gusting 30-40 mph throughout the day...with temps in the 20s and on/off snow showers. Definitely a wintry day.

I agree, I think we're sitting in a good position for this one. I do think the valley will struggle with efficient accumulation rates during the daytime tomorrow - I can envision temps hovering around 33/34F with a non-accumulating wet snow in North Conway for a good portion of the day, but up here at 1500' I think I'll be ok. The good stuff doesn't appear to move in until right around dusk, so the combination of nightfall plus an increase in rates due to the heavier band rotating in will probably allow all elevations to crash to 32F with a good thump that'll last well into the evening. In my opinion, the real show will be from about 4pm until 10pm-11pm or so. Psyched for my first real event in my new location!! I'm as much a ski weenie as I am a wx weenie, and my bread and butter is truly backcountry skiing...so I'm excited that this will be a nice dense snow to establish a good base for future riding. I'm sure there will be folks that attempt to ski the Cog on Sunday, and tempting as it may be...I have no interest in risking injury when we have such a long BC season up here. Last season I skied Hillman's Highway (Mount Washington) on June 15th so there's plenty of time, though I am so ready lol.

Not if the gfs has anything to say about it. The upslope signature Saturday night is outrageous for northern NH on the latest run. You definitely are not in the synoptic jackpot, but it almost looks like there's a double QPF max - one from southeastern NH up through adjacent southwestern ME, and another squarely over the upslope regions on the northern/western slopes of the Whites. I lose in this scenario (in a relative sense). Still a good 36 hours to go, but I honestly feel pretty good about where we are sitting with this one. Models will continue to fluctuate from one run to the next, but I don't think it's very likely that we miss out on our first real event of the season.

We snow

It was the first event from 5-7 December 2003. I forgot there was a second! I was an undergrad at Plymouth State that month, and I think we got 10" and 12" from both events before it all washed away in a Grinch storm before Christmas.