TowsonWeather

Appreciate the insights - as bleak as they may be for us north of Baltimore. I'll be happy with 2-3 inches at this point. But less wouldn't surprise me at all. Really not expecting much of any consequence. One of these days (years?) we'll break out of this nearly decade-long slump, but it is not this day, haha. Congrats to DC south and the NOVA folks (except Richmond, cause F 'em) - enjoy it!

I don't hate it, tbh.

Ha! I remember a time when the north trend was a predictable phenomenon. Just hasn't really been that for quite some time now - certainly not consistently.

LOL... Riiiight. Forget the fact that the Euro consistently annihilates the GFS in verifications. If the GFS trips over it's own dong and lands on a diamond one time for our backyard, it's the new king, right? Good gravy.

You don't need frozen ground for snow to accumulate very quickly. That said, the potential for meh rates on this one - at least north of DC - could definitely make the OTG totals less impressive overall.

"I will say the GFS has handled this storm best" I mean - it def could score a win here once it's all said and done. But I'm not sure can say with confidence which model has handled this best until we see what actually transpires.

FWIW, we got a little over 5 here in Towson - maybe 5.25 or so IMBY. Which still isn't great, and I know amounts dropped off noticeably as you move north.

Good luck! Hope that goes well for ya. As much as we all love winter weather, it's no fun when it impacts health stuff.

I wish I could trust the SREF, but it's really not been great in these situations.

Exhibit A.

LOL...I've been a member on here for almost 15 years. I've not once - ever - made disparaging comments about Richmond or folks down south. And yet all it took was me pointing out (in ONE thread) that multiple Richmond/VA posters were the ones being bitchy and snarky and telling the group that makes up 90%+ of this forum to "cry more" and y'all immediately double down with more of that weird cocktail of defensiveness and gloating over digital snow. And that's toward someone that's always been vocal about cheering for our southern friends when they jackpot. Weird behavior, tbh. I'll continue hoping we all enjoy deep drifts of snow, and you can continue being insecure, hyper-defensive weirdos.

I am dead inside.

Maybe a little. But I'd argue that it's pretty realistic. The NWS understands how to interpret models/maps with comically inflated totals. Their forecast isn't based verbatim on snow maps that don't reflect reality on the ground. There's a reason you see professional mets in this thread suggesting that 3-5 is a reasonable region-wide forecast, at least as of right now. Here's hoping we continue to see a juiced-up trend, however - we'd all be onboard with that.

How much for Richmond?

Seen this movie too many times over the last 6-8 years for Baltimore. I know how it ends. I'm very aware of our climo and while I long for big storms, I fully appreciate how rare they are and how easy it is for us to go several years without anything really meaningful. But this is getting stupid. The entire state of VA, the beaches, and obv north and west of us have all jacked multiple times in recent years while we get the rug pulled again and again. I haven't whined about it once, but I'm reaching my breaking point, lol. Shit is turning me into the joker.