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BYG Jacob
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Everything posted by BYG Jacob
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It’s hard to tell for sure, but it appears there is a touch of a northerly motion.
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Not in the Gulf
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Rita at 895
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Not great bob
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The mother of all EEL signatures
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I’m not sure, the shear direction aligns with the storm motion. The models probably just got it wrong. EDIT: I’d like to hear from a meteorologist about this, I understand Jet = dead storm lul, but most storms aren’t moving East.
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Pressure and FL winds supportive of a category 5
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A hallmark of a legendary cane
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Flagged 142 knot SFMR, but unflagged 136 knot and 139 knot FL. Almost a category 5
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933 extrap, an insane rate of intensification
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982 on the dropsonde. The only issue I can see are the highest rain rates are in a band outside the developing eyewall
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Pressure is going to bottom out as those get ingested while the eyewall contracts
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Finally stopped puking out outflow boundaries. Looks much better right now.
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Took another gulp of dry air
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Not sure if that’s subsidence from convection, but RH values that low aren’t going to cut it for a major hurricane, and that is getting pulled into the core of the storm
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Helene is still dealing with mid level dry air, you can see it on WV and dropsondes
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Looks like it finally managed to pinch it off, just a matter of shoving out whatever is left.
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Hard to 100% tell, but that look more like a solid, protected pocket of moisture. Don't see any dry air left in the storm
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976 extrap
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Looks like Helene will close off a much smaller eye than that huge one it attempted last night.
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991.8, and Helene is pulling away from the buoy
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992.8 now
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Pressure down to 993 mb on buoy 42056, and it didn’t get the center
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Getting tugged north by that blowup on the northern side of the nascent eye
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