Ed, snow and hurricane fan

Is a 10:1 clown really bad (within a realistic time frame, not a week or hour 384), it gives a 'quick look' at what the model thinks will fall as snow, and can be easily adjusted for a different ratio? Just a little more work on a 1 hour or three hour update to trim off QPF when it might be snowing but not sticking.

Cool being able to track a surface low and it isn't even hurricane season.

The low isn't sub 980 mb yet, I'm not sure that ever happens, the NE-SW nipple which I think may be causing the Long Island death band should weaken further, my Weenie vision says/hopes band to the S causing subsidence weakens and band maybe starting offshore rotates into EMA/NEMA and snows. 4-6" would require a miracle, but 1-3", even at BOS on the coast, not impossible

That band curves into Long Island, where ISP is 33F and SN+ and NYC forum posters even on the S. Shore are reporting snow accumulating on grass. Far from the low, which seems to be an sign for 1-3 inch optimism even at BOS as low gets closer and sun angle decreases towards evening.

GFS is still meh with low CAPE and high CINH, but TWC again, from discussion, suggests Euro has enough instability for severe. SPC has a Day 3 slight risk. Decent enough dynamics. I can see Euro bulk shear on PIVOTAL, 50 knot plus bulk shear.

I want to see if eye like feature heading NW towards Central Maine actually turns SW as depicted. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-02-24-1-50-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

He has been in Housatonic with a big downed tree on car. ~15 inches where he is. Light-moderate with wet streets. Power out where he is.

Per NYC thread, starting to stick to grassy surfaces in Suffolk County, NY. That subforum members pleasantly surprised. Have not seen @MJO812 post, I assume Brooklyn is not sticking.

You going to the beach this afternoon for surf pictures? High tide soon.

Cantoree reporting 30 inches in Rowe (sp?) Still at smashed cars under a tree in Houstonic. Tree is neighbor's tree, a few more homes in area than I had thought.. Untreated rod just wet even w/ ~15 inches. Neighbor's tree, not as rural as originally thought. Wet street, still rural enough I doubt it was treated.

Jim Cantore with a large oak in Housatonic onto a driveway with cars. Jim showed rot on the tree, people w/ car damage might have wanted to cut the tree down. Not much wind, just snow. Edit- also bad luck, that looks very rural and the one tree that could hit the cars, did.

Several inches of snow in the Mountain Time Zone prior to this 24 hours, the prior 0Z Euro had 2 feet in the mountains. Model shows a cold season trough along the Gulf Coast with 50s DPs not far offshore. 12Z GFS starting to head in the direction of the Euro.

SPC meso confirms the nipple is real, although obs thread seems cheerful except S and E CT, people getting snow who expected to be rain and people getting rain but a degree or two F colder than the models.

Decided to stay up for the Euro. I went to bed but couldn't sleep. Edit- never mind, I forgot about DST, the curse of following hurricanes on work days... Edit 2- It isn't as bad as a few years ago, I don't know if Euro runs faster or it just gets to the net faster, but it seems like it used to not come out at all until almost 2 am CDT/3 am EDT.

I don't see that on OKX at all, but I can see it starting on BOX. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=BOX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad

Nipple is real? Still there...

Two people in rain, but Felicia Combs in POU may get some good shots. Not sure why the NYC rain event is being televised. Edit to Add- ALY is 6-8 inches in POU...

TEAL in tasking suggests it is the less capable (for a WS mission, lower ceiling, 23k feet) USAFR plane. Maybe military has more budget than NOAA? Edit to add: some of the data could go into HRRR/RAP runs before 0Z, I assume. They started sending data at 1810.

Foot plus in the Chisos and Davis Mountains. This holds I'll start a Texas Winter Weather thread before St. Patrick's Day. For some reason, Cardinal DiNardo says we can eat meat. Helps all 67 people of Irish ancestry in Houston, I guess.

Per Euro, that drops a trace of snow just SW of Houston on Monday and over a foot in the Davis, Chisos and Guadalupe ranges just 600 miles W of MBY.. The cold next week might be a story.

Blizzard of 1978 got me an entire week away from Sister Grace Edwards. I have a theory about why certain women become nuns that doesn't involve Christian charity. 76-77 and 77-78 turned me into a weenie for life.

Small font I can't read well reply... >40 year old ties to NYC and New England subforums. There is no place outside the desert with less interesting weather than Houston. Unless floods and droughts are the thing. Although Euro is dropping a trace of snow in part of the HGX CWA next Monday... If we could get more snow at IAH than @MJO812gets at Central Park that would rock.

Trace snow next week at Port Lavaca. Maybe a should start a Winter weather thread.

What is causing that convergence just E/NE of clear spot where convection is firing? And which 12Z model seems best compared to current obs? Thanks.

My Mom was Class of '52 at North Quincy High School, maybe 10 miles from BOS. I see 12.4" at 10:1 on Euro there, which is more likely half that, or 6 inches of slop, which might not normally cancel school, but w/ unused budgeted snow days. I just wonder how the Euro has heavy snow in BOS with the low well NW of there. OT- it was at a Texas Tech at UT game in 1993 I found out N. Quincy was the Red Raiders, like Tech is. I never figured that out in the total of many months I was visiting her house at 18 Hunt Street. Feel terrible for school kids of St. Martin of Tours in Amityville.