jdj5211
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Everything posted by jdj5211
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Can someone give me a current start time for the storm for NNJ on Wednesday?
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I like this game...using Kuchera numbers... CMC 32 RGEM 24 ICON 18 NAM 15 GFS 7 Pretty good night! Just waiting to see where the King falls in line!
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I would sign up for no more storms this entire winter to see 3 feet of snow in my yard....no questions asked!
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It’s pretty wild how you can have models with 18-24 inches and then models with 3-6 inches in the same location 3 days out...it’s either way out to lunch or going to score a massive win (hopefully not)
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GFS is ugly...gives more snow to SNJ and the coast than NNJ and Hudson valley. Almost opposite of RGEM....
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Awesome start! Here comes GFS! Can we go 2 for 2 and then EURO 3 for 3?!
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It appears to be starting later now, no? Looking like a late Wednesday start for NYC and finishing up Thursday morning. Most falls during overnight hours which is even better for accumulation and temps, no?
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If we can shift those 2" QPF totals east about 100 miles....that would put NENJ/NYC in the 18-24" bullseye! (what I'm selfishly hoping for here in NE NJ)
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just looking at the 18z run compared to the 12z run...as mentioned it looks like it's trying to close the low off but just misses. I'm curious as to why it's starting to pick that idea back up now? IF it was able to close off and that's a big IF...that transfer would need to happen further to the SW if we want this thing to slow to a crawl without impeading our track and snowfall totals....wherever that CCB were to set up would have the potential for 24+ with that scenario.... thoughts?
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my wife says the same thing to me....I said you'll never understand....
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I'll take 24+ in my backyard LOL....not going to happen...
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can someone post the Kuchera map...does EURO have one?
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keep an eye on the low placement...I noticed the low was offshore and then popped back to southern NJ...not sure of the implications in the run though
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12-18 with 18+ spots at 10-1 ratios across most of the area....
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EURO is an absolute monster....about the best track we get get for the majority of the region to cash in...
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I'm liking the EURO through 72....about as perfect as a setup you can get for a monster in the metro area....
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I’m actually excited for the NAM to come into range for this one
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Perfect setup for NYC/NNJ area.....solid 12-18 inch storm with some potential for 18+ zones. Let's see what the EURO has to say...
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00Z GFS has begun!
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NAM has some 5-7" amounts across NNJ at 10-1 ratio....an inch or two in NYC....much better than previous runs though....
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18Z GFS running....let's see if it holds serve
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Beautiful hit! Anytime we have the cold air injection right before the overrunning storm...look out! Now we just need a little more blocking to slow this baby down if we really want some big totals (18+) Regardless, a 12+ event for most of the region is a nice start to winter.
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Thanks! Looking forward to a fun winter. Hopefully I can bring some knowledge and great discussion to the forum!
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Came north about 100 miles for Monday event....still not a hit yet but much closer. Wednesday event setup looking great through HR84
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