jdj5211

0Z GFS looks to miss the phase.....

that precip shield just gets flattened like a pancake....

Much slower than the GFS.....

this was almost too tucked into the coast....would want it where the 12Z gfs tracked the low

Remember, the most historic storms in our area are usually sniffed out well in advance with a pretty decent model consensus in the leading week. Would love for the Euro to start to jump on board but no doubt there is a very significant threat for a KU event

I'd give up the next 3 winters for that map to verify exactly as displayed lol.....

This one's over folks....on to the next one...

0Z NAM keeps the entire storm from CNJ on southward....a flake doesn't even fly in N NJ/NYC

different storm but look at this monster coming out of the Gulf for next weekend.....

we'll have to see how quick that coastal low can deepen when it gets off shore..... looks like a Monday morning to Monday evening event for the NY metro.... temps in the mid 20s throughout storm....10-1 minimum as far as ratio....could easily see 12-1

GFS amped and deepening precip shield further to the north....should be a good hit coming....

End of the 0z NAM run looked good.....things seem to be trending north still.....0z GFS and Euro will be telling

doubt we'd be looking at 10-1 ratios here....it's mighty cold

RAP still likes the heavy band in Northern NJ/NYC area

18Z NAM Kuchura