NotSureWeather

Might be cause it’s almost 4AM but is it turning NE?

Probably the best it has looked satellite wise.

Just aesthetically at least.

Looks like it’s dying. Whole west side is basically gone. Front is ripping it apart. Some Bermuda Triangle voodoo?

Trying for an eye? Looks close, has cleared out a decent amount.

1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said:

 

Improving for sure but it's been that western side struggling for awhile now.

Just now, wthrmn654 said:

If not,  moderators will likely step in. 

I don't mind someone being silly and a little off topic here and there. I definitely do it too. Thing that did it for me was being rude to people for no reason.

8 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Pssst...Where's the ignore button ?

Hover over their picture or name and it should pop up.

That just eliminated more than a third of this entire thread...

Thank god for the ignore option...

4 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said:

so this is busting badly

Should start improving soon I’d bet. It’s feeling the moisture north and it should help with the dry air.

Some hot towers popping up in the core the past hour or so.

2 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

i think you need to make yourself a cup of herbal tea, sit down, watch some jerry springer or something and relax so you don't taint the image of us Long Islanders being crazy.

The New England tropics thread has about two pages of psychology discussion about social media lmao

5 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

remember forecasts are used as a whole they include many models.

 

if we just use the peak models all the time the world would be a huge disaster if those were always the overall storm outcome lol 

Yeah that’s kinda like using the 90th percentile for snow maps.

Edit- Nice to look at but generally never happens.

1 minute ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said:

WTF is going on man

Is the basin just fucking unfavorable or what

Looks like dry air?

Still looks like crap, probably why intensity forecast have come back a little. Will a weaker storm change the track much?

26 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said:

How did humberto size up to fabian?

Think you might be a bit obsessed with comparing storms to other storms.

What the hell is this thing doing?

2 minutes ago, Boston Bulldog said:

None of that shows a closed vortex at the low levels as I cannot see low level westerlies. There is some mid level spin present, but no indication of a TC at this time. Satellite imagery, especially IR satellite, can play tricks

Just saying it’s looking more organized the last 4 hours or so. It’s already close to getting a name anyway, up to 70% within 48 hours now.

Ernie is looking close to leaving the metaphorical womb.

Think it’s either a depression or upgraded to potential at 2pm. I’m on my phone but the last few images you can really see it getting the pieces in place.

49 minutes ago, Diggiebot said:

Literally not true. It has happened a lot recently for Atlantic Canada but NE had two cat 3’s in one season. Small sample size. Lots of cat ones and tropical storms. 

They get 3-5 every year versus 0-2 for this area. Which was the point of their post…

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol, “HE” doesn’t even exist yet.  Just a swirl of clouds. 

Bet there is a psychology student somewhere using this forum for their thesis on mental instability.

28 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Euro ops is east eps to? Gefs I think looks east overall looking at the total precip

Basically every model has been trending east since yesterday.

Looks like it’s improved a bit the last couple hours or so.