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Intensewind002

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Everything posted by Intensewind002

  1. Intensewind002
    Finally got below freezing in Lindenhurst after a few mornings of 34 for the low. Went down to about 31 this morning
  2. Intensewind002
    I hit 35 for the low back at home this morning, so no first freeze there yet.
  3. Intensewind002
    I’m feeling flexed on by all the people posting aurora images on wxtwitter today
  4. Intensewind002
    We went down to 30 here in Albany, but it was pretty cold back home on long island too with a low of 36 imby
  5. Intensewind002
    I've seen worse named storms than 94L right now, I guess it must still have frontal features or something
  6. Intensewind002
    I personally don’t buy it because Im a weenie and that is literally when I’ll be going back to school after being home for a month+ so I refuse to accept an outcome I don’t like
  7. Intensewind002
    Final total for me was 2.73” we’ve been in a bit of a rain hole in SW Suffolk for all the big rain events this year so my yearly total is probably half that of places in nyc and nj. Hopefully this doesn’t translate to winter again (we got dry slotted in both the dec 2020 and feb 2021 snowstorms too). Highest wind gusts were only in the 30-35 mph range it looks like for western LI
  8. Intensewind002
    My rain gauge back home is at about 2.35” now
  9. Intensewind002
    I recorded a gust to 69 mph in Lindenhurst on my weather station, of course it helped that it was right on the bay since that's where my aunt and uncle lived at the time but around the same time KFRG reported a gust to 78. I was basing it off that kfrg report but I agree, it was more realistically in the 50s and 60s for the most part
  10. Intensewind002
    Storm total so far back at home is 1.95", but it looks like it's raining pretty heavily again
  11. Intensewind002
    I'd be surprised if there are wide spread power outages in suffolk, at least on the south shore. There has to be wind gusts to at least around 75-80 mph (ala Sandy, Isaias, march 2010 noreaster) to really get anything beyond moderate where I live, and maybe more around 60-65 if the ground is saturated enough like with Irene, which only the forks are probably gonna see.
  12. Intensewind002
    I haven't really been tracking this event so forgive me if someone has said/asked this already, but is this going to be similar to a closer to the coast version of the 1991 Perfect Storm? The retrograde and the fact that it may transition to a subtropical or tropical system makes me think maybe.
  13. Intensewind002
    Yeah here in Albany it wasn’t as much of an event as I was expecting
  14. Intensewind002
    Yeah I stand corrected, it really isn’t all that comparable. Looking at the Florence archive, it was only forecasted to be a Cat 4 at landfall before the stall was a factor. After it started showing up on model runs, it was lowered to Cat 3 and eventually 2, (i honestly think it might have been a 85 kt hurricane at landfall). Plus the intensity had no effect on the severe flooding that you guys experienced
  15. Intensewind002
    The only recent US hurricane bust I can think of that was that bad was probably Florence, nhc was predicting at Cat 4 landfall at some point if i remember correctly
  16. Intensewind002
    Pretty bad intensity forecast wise from most models across the board with Pamela this past week. I remember everyone thinking this could be a Cat 4 landfall not too long ago, now it’ll probably be a Cat 2 at highest possible intensity, and even that is a long shot, although I’m sure a lot of people on the west coast of mexico are happy they didn’t get a patricia redux
  17. Intensewind002
    I hope one day we can get computer programs that can initialize past storms and the atmospheric conditions around them and show us how they exactly looked structurally proceding and at landfall or as close to reality as possible. I always wanted to see how storms like the 1938 and 1944 hurricanes, hurricane carol, 1935 hurricane, hurricane Hazel etc. would have looked with our current technology.
  18. Intensewind002
    Extratropical Sam might be almost as impressive as tropical Sam
  19. Intensewind002
    What is the threshold for farthest north 130 kt+ hurricane in the open atlantic? Sam has to be approaching it at this point
  20. Intensewind002
    In Lindenhurst, It seems I’ll finish the month with exactly 5.6” of rain. Low was 53 last night, the coldest of the month so far. We hit 39 for the low here in Albany by comparison
  21. Intensewind002
    Is it me or is same looking a little annularish suddenly
  22. Intensewind002
    Just a gut feeling, but I think we’ll get another 2 or maybe even 3 majors from Caribbean season this year
  23. Intensewind002
    That seems to be fairly cyclic as well, a cluster of high end cat 4 or higher US landfalls happened in the 1920s into the 30s (plus a 150 mph cat 4 in 1919) and again in the 1960s, (Donna, Carla, and Camille)
  24. Intensewind002
    I love watching red taggers duke it out
  25. Intensewind002
    As is tradition recon arrives right after Sam’s peak
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