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wizard021

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Everything posted by wizard021

  1. wizard021
    Bad miss on the banding south. Model way off.
  2. wizard021
    Already 4 to 7 inches in central nj, that model wrong.
  3. wizard021
    6 to 8 inches of snow over my house, I don't see much over northern areas (compared to previous storms) . You guys will be relying on the second batch of snow and it is not significant given no cut off upper low.
  4. wizard021
    The second batch will be so so tomorrow , i wouldnt rely on it. NYC will jackpot watch. The heaviest snow is running just slightly north of the models.
  5. wizard021
    You not getting that? What model has more than 3 to 4 inches over you. If anything observed banding on the northern edge = subsidence where you are.
  6. wizard021
    You will generally be under 3 inches.
  7. wizard021
    https://gyazo.com/455217016b2d182fc0c5e1100ba8f8a7 Nice totals 4 to 6 inches already there.
  8. wizard021
    Freehold reports 2 inch hour during 12z.
  9. wizard021
    That yellow band will be jackpotted. Model bust there.
  10. wizard021
    https://gyazo.com/82260af707c698fc703d6a943548a581 Parkway by Asbury Park getting hit hard in the band. Areas west of there have 4 to 6 inches already.
  11. wizard021
    06z nam didn't have a flake till 13z In the areas getting hit hard right now . This tells me the warm layer will come in faster due to stronger warm advection. Also expect heavier totals by 17z and southern areas of NYC will see totals of 5 to 6 inches b4 sleet at 12pm.
  12. wizard021
    I195 corridor in NJ is getting crushed .
  13. wizard021
    Coastal nj snow band moving north . That should coincide with the heavy lift. Yellows oranges coming .
  14. wizard021
    Watch if the heavy echos in coastal nj move north.
  15. wizard021
    10 inches close by
  16. wizard021
    Half inch to 2 inches for the boroughs, though i doubt it sticks given weak rates predicted on the models. Next 2 threats look good.
  17. wizard021
    maybe even higher, better lift and better cold air at mid levels.
  18. wizard021
    wrong. rates will be the same.
  19. wizard021
    If you can get the 1.3 qpf here , this becomes 10 to 15 inches. You will see the ratios are gona be good. Ratios are due to the lifting and mid level temps. Last storm had 700 mb temps minus 3 to 4. This one is minus 10 and similar mid level lift. Watch out.
  20. wizard021
    Ratios look higher than 1:10 . Strong lifting with 700 mb temps minus 10. 1 inch qpf would squeeze out 12 inch of snow not 10. Very
  21. wizard021
    Ukmet looks like 6 to 10 .
  22. wizard021
    Looks like this low is a few mb stornger maybe gona add a few inches on top of that
  23. wizard021
    http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/2002/012006.png 500 mb looks similar to the Raiders/Patriots snow game in 2002 Jan 20. Low pressure to hw nw of the coastal, with high to the ne.
  24. wizard021
    Southern getting stronger to me.??
  25. wizard021
    southern vort getting stronger each run.
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