Brian D

Starting to see a push from the north. 2 bands going right now. One over me, and another just north. Should see the second over me soon. Duluth/Superior should see stronger action later this afternoon.

A weak band set up around midnight last night, very light snow for a while. A little heavier just N of Duluth, then it sank south of me. Started up again here early this morning. More of a popcorn LES event today. Snow squalls moving through every few minutes. Yeah, the dry air mixing in is hampering development, along with higher pressure, so not seeing an organized, solid band. 3" reports have come in along the path, but hard to tell in town because the wind is blowing it around. ENE at 20-30 with dry, fluffy snow. Whiteout when the heavier bands move through.

And I will end up with an LES event from this set up. Very cold air running parallel at the surface and mid levels (ENE) with a bullseye on my area. Exact placement determines if it's 1" IMBY or 6". It should make its way down towards Duluth during the day, as winds turn more NE. They maybe undercasting the snow down that way, especially downtown area/Superior, but since it'll be afternoon by then, streamers usually peter out some as the day warms, so I guess we shall see what happens.

Bye Bye Bitter, Hello Average, and a little snow to boot.

My forecast for St Patrick's Day has high pressure over the region after a system has moved through the day before, with another knocking on the door. So a cooler day that day, but only briefly. In general, March looks very active, and at times, very mild. Expect some wild weather.

Been boiling a pot of water today to bring the humidity up in the house. Very dry, and it also gives the furnace a little break. Runs hard on cold, windy days.

GFS has what I'm looking for on MLK Day. Few days to go.

Temps running -15 to -20 with wind chills up to -45. Wind chill warning has been out for N MN this morning. Always have to look at the old vs new wind chill charts. A good part of my life was under the old values, and they are still ingrained in me. Based on temp and wind, the -45 is -60 under the old. -60 to -75 wind chills were common back in the day, which equates to -45 to -55 now.

Wow, i'd say. The 1889/90 winter was a very warm one. The SE continued in the warmth. Jan 1890 was 3rd, and Feb was 4th warmest. That makes the 1889/90 winter #1 for that region.

Serious warmth in the southern US. The central/southern plains region was really warm. But I see that this happened just one other time in this area. 1889. This is the second time Dec got this warm in over 130 years. The SC chrt has 2021 by a nose with prelim data, by 0.06. For the southeast region this would be the 3rd time with 2015 in the mix, but 1889 still a little stronger. Impressive stuff.

-30's across the Northland this morning, away from the lake. Top 5 cold. That's twice already this month we've seen temps dip that low. Winds go calm, and the temps plummet.

Here's a recap of the seasons this year, and how this year compared in the long period record. A very strong showing this past summer, and fall.

Well, data is coming in for Dec. This is how it looked. Impressive warmth. Lots of near record/record avg's in the southern part of our region. With the anomaly chart, this last Dec was definitely up there with a few other years.

About 6" from this system. Decent lake band very early this morning helped bring the total up. Snow winding down now.

Areas more prone to ground blizzard? Western areas for sure.

A lake band is setting up just south of me. It may widen a bit with another looking to build just N of me. Hopefully get under one for a while. That will bring the snow totals up.

Another 3-6" hit coming in with 6-8"+ slated for further up the shore. I'm thinking a lake streamer could develop during the night tomorrow night, and really jack up the totals. They are hard to predict my way, and usually surprise the forecasters when they hit. This could be one of those times. As low pressure moves through, a lingering trough behind helps keep the 850's at an ENE trajectory, even with a N surface wind. Seen it many times. A band develops N of me and rides down the shore towards Duluth dumping a lot of snow together with (and after) the synoptic stuff. When the trough weakens enough (along with the 850's), and the N winds get stronger, it will nail the south shore region hard (Ashland, Ironwood region). In just a few hours, large amounts of snow come down off the big lake. We'll see if this happens. It doesn't always, but overnight/early a.m always seems the best for this to happen around here.

-18 & -19 respectively the last 2 mornings here in town. Brimson had -26 & -38. Calm winds let the temps drop considerably. That's a #2 record. -43 in 2014. Records start in 1986, so not very long. But it looks like top 5/near record lows the last couple days in the region, even for longer period stations, so this is impressive cold for this time of year.

Starting off the new year with some polar bear weather.

Have a new holiday thread for 2022. Post this there.

This concludes the year 2021. Hope you guys enjoyed this thread this year. I posted a new holiday thread a while ago. Please post your upcoming holiday forecasts/predictions there.

Ended up with a so-so call. Closer on New Years Day. Enjoy your storm in the S GL area.

I bet they are. -5 to -10 around the area here this morning. Just going to get colder, especially with the fresh snow. Looks like -20's coming up for a.m. lows by the weekend. 5 to -5 for highs. ISH! Seen much worse tho. (mid 1990's for example)

After 2 days of snow, looks like 1 1/2-2'+ of snow fell around my town, and the higher terrain. A good 2 day run just in time for the cold weather. Skiers, and snowmobilers got something to play in now.

A second heavy snow band developed when I thought we were near the end. It's finally tapering off. A solid 8". NWS undercasted this one for here. Curious to see what the other reports will look like tomorrow morning.