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Brian D

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Everything posted by Brian D

  1. Oh, I should have added, in my last obs report to them I teased them a little by saying "Tough cast. Snow porn to almost celibate LOL". I also complimented them on doing a decent job this season, too. I'm sure as a forecaster, when you get one that wrong, it's a big letdown, and the public trust is affected. NWS Duluth is a tougher zone to forecast for, anyway, because of Lake Superior + terrain, and the interplay with weather systems on the basin. Living in the area all my life, the lake has, and always will be a wild card that models will struggle with at times.
  2. 1-2" of snow near the lake with 3-6" away around here. N WI had 3-6" near the lake with 6-10" away. Forecast flop. Biggest of the season for NWS Duluth. Generally they are pretty decent, but they got caught on this one. Oh, well, live n learn. This happened more when I was younger. Models not as good as today, and they aren't the greatest even now at times, but much better than the past tho. A little experience, and instinct are helpful. Even I thought they were going too liberal, but it really flopped worse than I thought it might.
  3. So-so cast on this one. Trough moving through here in the north as system leaves the area. Dual fronts sweeping the region bringing chilly weather.
  4. BIG FLOP! this was a terrible forecast. I think I got 1", I think, because its blowing around.. Oh well, onward.
  5. Looks like snow went rain/snow mix here. Nasty day.
  6. Well, it looks like it'll be snow right off the bat. Very wet, but snowing nonetheless. Figured it be more mixed to start, so 6-8" looking good I think.
  7. New forecast is much as I expected would be the case. Had some light rain showers yesterday, and some drizzly weather this morning. Radar showing precip moving in real soon. Let the slop fest begin.
  8. Interesting. Sunday, the winds picked up quite a bit for while. The airport recorded winds up to 45 mph. So, either human error, or winds messing things up a bit.
  9. NWS Duluth's take on snow totals today. South Shore will do well, but I'm thinking the North Shore will only just make min guidance here, my gut anyway. 6-8" would be just fine with me. Starting as rain, and slowly transitioning to snow is a big factor, combined with increasing N winds bringing loads of dry air. Guess we shall see. Event starts tonight.
  10. Today, looking like a good 6-8" for me, but the entire south shore of Lake Superior will see 1-2' with this one. The start will be rain/snow mix, then quickly turn to colder temps, and snow, leaving a little ice underneath. After getting 12-17" around TH area, another 6" would be a cherry on top. Others would say just more pain in the ass, and lets get to Spring already. People are ready for winter to end. Personally, I partly agree, but really want to see the snow season record fall at Duluth, and TH 7NW.
  11. Oh, ok. Well not interested in the details of why, just was curious. I try to stick to weather, volcanoes, etc.
  12. Just curious, but are we missing a certain someone again?
  13. NEXT! Weenie gone stiffy "ATTENTION"! (A little army snap to lol. Been quite a few years since I did my time)
  14. Guess we're not quite done. Another broad band of snow over NE MN is sagging south slowly. Starting to snow again. Maybe 1-3" from this? Cool!
  15. 12-17" around my area. Good storm. NEXT!!
  16. Hasn't made it there quite yet, that's just regular snow we've been having. When it hits, you won't see the harbor from that cam.
  17. Lake band moved in, and it snowing baby. Vis 2 blocks, a little less on the wind. Awesome Update: very heavy snow, and down to 1 block or less. OH YEAH!!
  18. ~12" here in town, and still heavy snow. Lake Superior doing its thing. Best in town snow this season. When this is done, maybe St Pat's day will bring another 6"
  19. Moderate to heavy snow with winds 10-20 G25-30. Pretty normal storm. Going to be going for hours.
  20. Yes, but the frost never really went at all that deep, so, much of the snow melt will soak in much quicker. Nonetheless, a wet start to the Spring season to be sure. But lack of rain later in the Spring could allow things to dry up quickly. Just depends.
  21. As far as snow goes, yes, and that away from the lake in the higher terrain. Temps have been so-so. Not as much bitter weather this year. Duluth, and TH 7NW are pushing for snow season records as seen in my sig below. Will have to see the final tally on this storm to see how much closer they get.
  22. Took a couple hours for saturation, but snow finally made it. Game on!
  23. The updated snowcast has slightly less totals for the region, and slightly greater totals along the North Shore (Silver Bay area especially). Some LES has shown up on radar already this morning between here, and Silver bay which is the reason for the bigger totals along the shore. Winds are kicking up this morning, and still waiting on the snow, which is on the doorstep in Duluth.
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