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Everything posted by Brian D
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A little OT here, but just came across info on the Leonid meteor shower we have every Nov. In 1833, there was a meteor storm on Nov 12-13. Est 100-200k+/hr rates across the E US. The moon had set in the evening, leaving dark skies for the event to be seen easily. And of course, then, no real light pollution to speak of like we have today. WOW! That would be awesome to witness. Hope something like that happens before I leave the world. Remembering those 2 comets back in the mid-late 90's with awesome tail views in the NW sky. Hale-Bopp was one, then there was another with a Japanese name if memory serves. Rare one gets to see events like that in your lifetime.
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I mentioned Feb looking seasonable to colder most of the month. Seems we have seen a few more of those types in recent years than warmer. Jan has the opposite feel. Doesn't mean there can't be a quick snap, tho.
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It'll be nice to have some colder wx. Force the trolls back into their caves. Hope a large Beaufort Gyre freshwater release happens soon into the N Atl. That'll keep them hibernating for a few years. LOL Don't get me wrong, I fall in the lukewarmer camp, I just shake my head at "chicken little" nonsense. So that means I believe we will oscillate on a slowly warming trend. But the geo-political situation continues to devolve, so, much more weighty matters are in our face, and could be for many years to come. This verse comes to mind " they shall cry 'Peace, and safety', then sudden destruction shall come". And of course, a massive solar event could put us back into the stone age in just one day, too. CC is just not that high on the list of "OMG's" considering the wars/plagues/natural disasters of history that can easily happen again with much more devastating effects. We can adapt much easier to CC, than if other stuff happens. Alright, enough of that. Hopefully the rest of you will stop with CC stuff, and get back to the topic of this thread, and other threads. I mentioned in an earlier post about my feel for winter, and I said it looked like the 1st half of Dec was going to fall into the seasonable to warmer camp. Still holding to that, except the first couple days could be on the colder side. Back in the Oct thread, I mentioned the seasonable to warmer conditions for the 2nd half of Oct - 1st half of Nov. The late Oct into the 1st days of Nov snap was a bit more aggressive than I anticipated. I never mentioned the 2nd half of Nov, which has a more seasonable to colder feel. And that looks to bleed into the 1st days of Dec. Seasonable can mean slightly warmer/cooler than avg. Aprox +/-5dF of avg is usual fare on a daily basis for seasonable wx.
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Very interesting. That's well out of the way of the usual seismic zone just a few hundred miles to the south of there. I don't think there's any fracking in that area either, but haven't checked.
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Very nice, but unfortunately, dry wx on tap for the week ahead. 50's feel good. Records are 60's-low 70's, so nothing too close to that. 1999 was the winner this time of year with 70d readings. Remember well the warmth during deer season that year. Sun bathing, and hunting at the same time. Rather easy to take a nap in the stand.
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Looks like I'm a day too slow on this cast, but looks OK otherwise.
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Oct prelim data in, and ends on a warmer note. Oct's have been running fairly normal, swinging back and forth from avg, in recent years. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.
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0.25" of rain last night. 1.16" for the month so far. That's about half the monthly normal so doing good.
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LES showers moving through right now ahead of synoptic stuff that's moving in. Could get interesting as the sun sets in a short while.
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Looks like a couple inches of snow along the higher terrain tonight. Of course, that could blow up to much more. Last year around this time, they low balled snow up that way, and ended up with 1-2'. That just happened with our last snow, too. 5-8" wasn't in the cards in the areas to my north. In fact, they forecast basically nothing for that area. Lake Superior can be a difficult one to deal with in forecasting.
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0.91" last night. Good start to the month, and looks like a mix coming in tomorrow.
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Batch of heavier rains moving through tonight. Much needed after a drier Oct. Not liking the clock change. Dark too early now. Not an early riser, so it makes winter long.
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Yeah, it got split by the midnight hour. 0.9", and 1.8".
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Another top 5 record min this morning around the area. Hibbing set a record low of 4. Brimson co-op had a -1, which is a strong record low for their short record. They have only been in the upper 20's for highs the last few days up there. That's chilly. Most of the snow has melted under yesterday's sun, except for the shady places. Area's to the north with 5-8" will take a little longer to melt, but most of the area is forest, so it'll stay around until temps get into the 40's this week. Firearm deer season starts this coming weekend, so that snow will be helpful for the hunt. Deer in my area will start to migrate towards the shore with all that snow up north. The cold, and snow will put the rutting season in full swing. Should be a good hunt this year.
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That's 2nd out 7 recorded snows for the date. 8.2" 1991, 2.6" 2023, 1.4" 1932, 0.6" 1884, 0.5" 1995, 0.4" 1954, and 0.2" 1885. But there have been earlier snows greater. 10/20/20 you had 7.9" for that date, which is 2nd to 1991 for Oct snow. And today is tied for 5th snowiest Oct day. This was an impressive event for Oct. Not easy to get 2"+ during the month. Even looking at 2 day events.
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Looking at TH records, this is the 2nd snowiest Halloween on record. 4.0" in 1926, 1.5" today, and 0.5" in 1939 are the only 3 measurable snows in town. The 1991 Halloween stm started on this day, but didn't put down much (just a T) until the overnight hours into the 1st of Nov, and the 2nd. That's when the crazy settled in. Partied through the storm in my young, and foolish days. Ran out of booze, and was snowed in
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General 1-3" around the area, except for a band that set up to my north. 5-8" under that one. 2" IMBY.
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~2" of snow fell this evening. Just a little more to go before the last band moves through. Calm conditions with low nearby.
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So-so on this one. More like light mix/snow with a clipper moving through, and a trough across the Lakes.
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0.1" on the ground melting a lot slower than I thought under sunny skies. Temps around the area were Top 5 min's again running in the teens this a.m.. Hibbing had a 2nd place finish at 10 (8 1988). I-Falls has been down for a few days.
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Snow showers moved through tonight leaving a couple tenths on the ground. Looking wintry now.
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Yeah, everyone needs to get their snow footing. First snows are the worst driving times. Folks just don't know how to slow down, and be careful. A couple 360's usually does the trick.
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Chilly wx starting yesterday with highs in the upper 20's-low 30's around the area (top 5 low max records), and lows this morning in the upper teens-low 20's (top 10 mins). Dense ranking method used. Nice, sunny morning through the window until you open the door. Typical cold wx days. Bright, sunny then SLAP!
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And so it begins.
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Makes it easier to see the venison steaks moving through