Brian D

Windy am here under clear skies. N winds running 30-40+ with 50+ being reported up around Grand Marais. Gale/Storm warnings for the Lake.

Snow showers developing in my area with some flurries coming down at the moment. Flow still from the SW here.

2.98" of rain from this system. 3.99" for the month so far, which is nearly double the avg. Ground soaked up most of it. It was thirsty. Looks like more seasonable wx on tap which means a little more early winter-like wx.

Wet n windy night into this morning. Already reports of 1.50 -3" of rain, and it's still raining. Winds running up to 50 mph. There is a site near Silver Bay that has reported wind gusts up to 83 mph from the NE. It sits on a ridge about 40 ft above the water on the shoreline. The terrain rises fast there, so it seems the wind is funneling a bit along that stretch. Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Duluth MN 909 AM CST Tue Nov 19 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0750 AM Rain Finland 47.41N 91.25W 11/19/2024 M2.96 Inch Lake MN Cocorahs Cocorahs station MN-LK-52 Finland 0.1 S. 0700 AM Rain 3 SE Finland 47.38N 91.20W 11/19/2024 M2.80 Inch Lake MN CO-OP Observer CO-OP Observer station WLFM5 Wolf Ridge. 0845 AM Rain 1 NNW Beaver Bay 47.27N 91.31W 11/19/2024 M2.60 Inch Lake MN Mesonet Mesonet station BRBM5 Beaver R nr Beaver Bay. 0700 AM Rain 1 SSE Two Harbors 47.02N 91.66W 11/19/2024 M2.30 Inch Lake MN CO-OP Observer CO-OP Observer station TOHM5 Two Harbors.

They just upped the potential rain totals for the North Shore. Now isolated 4" possible along the higher terrain, along with a Wind adv for 40-50 mph wind gusts. Too bad this wasn't a winter storm. It would be awesome.

This will be most welcome! Isolated 3" also possible along the shore.

Pivotal Weather, and Tropical Tidbits Weather sites also have the long range Euro now. (360 & 144)

Sure has been nice. TH, tho, is 2nd driest (2.38") Sept 1-Nov 16 behind 1976 (2.05"), so the rains will be really nice. As much as I hate the cloudy, overcast stretches when the days are short, the precip will be most welcome. Temps looking to go back to more seasonable levels, so I actually may have a chance to measure some white stuff in a week.

Valentine's day (14th), and President's Day (17th) are next on the calendar. Valentine's Day is looking cold after the frontal passage, but a little energy may sneak in affecting the SE sub, along with any LES that will be generated for some. President's Day needs to watched as HP moves through, and energy from the W possibly moves out, and into our sub along a frontal passage from CAN. Feb looks to be a cold month ending below normal. (2021?)

Groundhog's day looks fair, and rather cold. Probably the coldest wx of the winter so far with what looks like a trough digging in starting late Jan into early Feb. That should get the LES engine roaring.

Another year on tap. Time sure is flying. The New Year's Day forecast is coupled with New Year's Eve Day in the "Holiday Forecasts 2024" thread. Starting off with MLK day, it looks like a ridge of HP will be over the sub bringing in chilly wx, and LES potential for some. Jan will be a bit variable, so I'm anticipating a near avg with a tendency towards a little above normal for the sub as a whole by months end.

Windy am here in NE MN. Gusts up to 50+ for some areas, and even a 69 mph gust followed by a 61 mph gust reported near Silver Bay on the shoreline at 4:40 & 4:50 am. The winds are slowly dying down currently.

A decent call here except my timing was a little quick. Nothing in the S areas except the boundary, which is dry. And there will be some LER/S across the Lakes during the day into the overnight as HP is moving into region on a N to NW flow.

Just scattered showers up my way. Nothing too robust, unfortunately. Wind advisory out for my area starting from 2 am thru 10 am tomorrow. 40-50 mph gusts anticipated.

Early data in for Oct. Very warm, especially for the NW half of the sub. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.