IronTy

If only it was a decent model.

That LR work was a freebie for you, the next will cost. Probably about as accurate as a 240h GFS run, no supercomputer required.

Yes I doubt as well it will be subtopics in 10yrs, I don't pretend to know the exact dates, but to me the general trend is pretty clear.

I wouldn't mind living in S Florida. Lots of cool wildlife and unique habitat. Myself, living right up on the coast of the western shore in Calvert County even over the past 15yrs I've witnessed large changes due to sea level rise. We have a lot of lowland swampy forest dominated by red maples. Over time the brackish water floods the ground water and you have huge tree die offs because they can't handle the salty conditions. Eventually I assume cypress will take over these areas but probably not on a time frame I will live to see. Even in the low portions of the forest on my property are changing. I have a natural spring that feeds a stream that used to only flow in winter and barely any water at that. Over the past 10yrs the stream is now year-round and flows more like a small river in winter. Erosion has lowered the streambed by 2-3ft just in the past five years, sort of like a mini grand canyon. Soon I expect the red maples will start to die off and it will become open swamp.

I wouldn't bet on that.. I've long thought that this is how GW plays out. Initially there's a golden period of snowstorms as the warming oceans provide the energy but there's still enough cold on the playing field. We've seen that the past 10-20yrs around here and especially up into NE. Then as the background state continues to warm you start to lose the snow and end up with rain. This will be the case for a decade or so until the next phase as subtropical conditions continue to move north and winter as we know and love it ceases to exist. I wish we'd just get to that point already so we didn't have to put up with all this cold rain anymore.

Great, the jinx is in.

You rang?

Lock in biggest since '96. Snowshovels are already selling out locally as the masses become aware of the upcoming pattern.

I gotta give it to this forum, there are a lot of polyannas prognosticating this way or that...if, X winds up here and Y does this and it's a Thursday and we close one eye then a HECS can happen. Sorry, it ain't happening. Face it we aren't getting any major snow this year. In fact, the sun is out full force today and I can already tell its angle is increasing. Countdown til spring has commenced....

Right up the road from me!

Snow in Southern Maryland!

Looks like Calvert is going to get some moderate snow in about 30mins. Won't last long but it's better than nothing.

Still 57F here. The rain hasn't even been that heavy, what a bust. I don't think we do flash freezes down here so I'm content to hope for some snow showers tomorrow.

60F here just got the mower out to mulch up some leaves for the final time this year. No rain yet but closing in.

No way, leave that baby right where it is. An inch of snow on Christmas would almost make me forgive the last two years.

I was going for a twofer.

Yeah right, it'll be all rain down here in Southern Maryland. I should expect that though, it's not peak climo yet.

I note the 12Z has uncanny similarities to '96.

32F and rain in huntingtown. This has gotta be one of the worst storms in history. 32 and rain, can it get any worse?

32F and I have some sprinkles down here in Lusby so you can cross off rain observation from SE Maryland. Or I'll report back when the heavy rain starts.

Wtf am I literally going to be 50 degrees on Thursday!? Burn it all down, can't we just permanently shift to warm climate at this point? At least I could BBQ comfortably then.

If you're gonna fail, you might as well fail big. I'd be happy to see a severe thunderstorm warning at this point. Or maybe a winter derecho with 8000j/kg?

Well duh, that's in centimeters.

Tell me more! Loving that track.

35F in huntingtown. Watches are up. Flood watches, that is. #TheBeatGoesOn