IronTy

Tons of thunder moving in from the west at DCL. It hasn't reached us yet at the cabin but it's getting close. Breezy and 67F. Need the rain here so I hope it makes it.

We had some rain up here at the cabin yesterday night and it really cooled down. I fired up the wood stove quick to give it a test run before winter. Gonna go hiking in savage river SF this morning, sunny and breezy at 66F right now.

Out at the cabin this weekend, perfect weather at 78F. Pretty dry up here and leaves are coming down steady as well. Just got my firewood delivered so I'm almost ready for winter.

The Pacific is showing some large scale cooling in recent days, have to see if that is just the beginning of something or a blip in the road.

Finally getting some clearing here. Local observations put the event just under 2" for us. Seemed like a lot more than that.

Still raining here. It can end now please.

The radar doesn't show much but there's a continuous stream of heavy rain coming off the bay at my house in Calvert. It's been dumping all afternoon.

More importantly, we are getting some heavy wind gusts now. They have to occasionally be close to low end TS winds from time to time. Still heavy rain too.

This map definitely aged well.

Yup, got a soaking on my ride home from work. Even closed my windows and turned the heat on when I got home. Lotta wind and rain. Hopefully a harbinger to the winter.

Has that coastal storm feel out today. Pretty heavy rain right now and a decent onshore wind.

Rain and wind in Calvert right now. Got pretty wet driving my motorcycle to the gym and then work.

We've had this one creeping around our cabin the past few nights. Neighboring guys got a pic of an entire family with four cubs this week as well. Luckily they don't hunt bear, only deer.

Looks good to me, I'll take it. Just getting the winter pattern set up early.

A whole generation is growing up not knowing what a noreaster even is. The horror!

Yeah I drove up to the cabin for that storm and it was a nightmare on the roads. We had a solid foot from it though it melted pretty quick.

You know it's desperate when JB is limited to posts adding up the ACE points from last year.

JD foretold this possibility like a month ago and he was poo-pood. ETA - JB also woofing on 13-14 and something about analogue severe weather in Europe.

Pretty sure that map has already busted low at my house and it hasn't even been 24hrs since it was issued.

Up in the city for my wife's bday this weekend and was just out at crispus attucks for outdoor movie night and it's pretty gross out there. The moon is pretty cool though. Lots of mosquitoes. Looking forward to the front that's coming through this weekend.

Snow

Temps

WB has their first preview of winter forecast up. Basically for us it's average temps with slightly above average snowfall.

Turned on the heated floor in my bathroom for the first time since spring. With the cloud cover it's actually a bit chilly at times in the breeze, crazy for August.

I'm getting kind of pumped for this winter. The drastic change in the Atlantic is something we haven't seen in a while going back almost 20yrs. I think it's interesting that the greatest BN anomalies are basically right along the path of the Gulf stream going up the EC. This could be the beginning of our flip to the cold AMO which we've been missing since basically the late 1990s. Even with the Pacific in it's warm phase, having the Atlantic in the predominantly cold phase means we should have a much easier time lining up a cold phase in both basins. We could be looking at another 20+ years of Atlantic in the cold phase if it continues to cool and it's not just a fluke.