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Everything posted by IronTy
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The Spire also likes Saturday. I have no idea how accurate it's been this season.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Cool, thanks. JB has been touting it this season. If there's one place i expect AI to be better than humans it is forecasting weather. The model should be getting huge amounts of data every day to compare and contrast forecasts to.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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JB says GFS too far North for Saturday. He likes the direct hit for DMV, I think based on the AI model. Anybody know where to get that?
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
IronTy replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
34F and moderate rain in Calvert ..spring can't get here soon enough. Eta I'm sitting in my car leaving the gym just now and a few wet snowflakes are mixing in. -
What matters is what's right, not what's hard.
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
IronTy replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
SoMD checking in... -
Chuck may get Forecaster of the Year for this season if things keep trending.
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
IronTy replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Been off the board for a bit, anybody have the latest RAP? -
Good, bring on spring. And 60s are respectable temps at least vs 40s and 50s which are crap. Looking forward to some sustained good days. Maybe once the Sistene Chapel period finally kicks in we'll be basking in 70s.
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The panic thread has been the most accurate of the threads for several years running. They should really just pin this one and let the LR thread languish because it's pretty useless as far as accurate forecasting goes.
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I'm out at deep creek right now meeting with builders. Drove by Wisp earlier today and lmao that's one pathetically sad looking ski resort right now. No snow around anywhere else other than the fake stuff on the immediate runs. I felt sorry for the skiers, like something out of Jamaican Bobsled. But yeah, no coat needed for this trip.
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Glaciers never made it this far down - DC couldn't even achieve snow town status during an ice age. Total failure.
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
IronTy replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
You rang? Sent from my Pixel 7 Pro using Tapatalk -
Those glacial periods look pretty long and ominous (and cold). I'll take global warming over that.
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Volcanic eruption or meteor.
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Isn't that pretty much what we always do? Usually that's the only timeframe to see a storm anyway.
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2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
IronTy replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I imagine the halcyon days of the weather forums, when only Very Serious People(tm) were allowed to make a thread and when one was posted up, VSP's called in sick to work, abandoned their spouses and children and really went to work analyzing the model outputs via manually-performed tensor calculus for days on end. Finally presenting their findings to the other VSP for peer review and submittal to NOAA for official forecast consideration. -
Yeah I'm really starting to get a sense of inevitability for this winter.
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I think that's basically what JB was alluding to earlier this morning.
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No that was off the euro weeklies into third week of Feb. Eta, he still likes the pattern and just a couple hours earlier posted up about 2010 similarities...so he's got his bases covered.
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Well JB just posted up that he doesn't like the weakening block and the highs heading over Siberia on the latest runs. That's about as good of a contrarian signal as we can ask for - lock it in.
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How have I missed that for literally years now!? Thank you!
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No doubt Sent from my Pixel 7 Pro using Tapatalk
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How do you get them? I've been bitching that WB doesn't have soundings for years now and all this time there's been a way to get them?
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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