40westwx
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Everything posted by 40westwx
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isnt the nam for thunderstorms?
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I was looking at the temps and Tuesday morning will be the coldest morning of the year for many in Northeast... in this scenario we have a building cold air mass and an exiting storm to usher it in. I really think that temps break in right direction for us. My kids and nephew will probably go to Oregon ridge Thurs morning!
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My guess is you will be fine. everyone might see some sleet when the low is just to our se.. but that happens pretty much every storm that wraps up like this. The front end thump will be where we cash in. I have this feeling we will trend colder in over the next few days!
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The Primary low looks to develop over Panama City Beach Florida.. the one in TN doesnt seem to be the dominate one anymore
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I live just outside of Baltimore on the west side of town... basically where interstate 70 and the Baltimore Beltway intersect.. how much snow do you think I will get?
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Banter is fine in any thread as long as we put little buttons on that say "the following post may contain sensitive information to some readers, click here to reveal content" .. then if someone posts too many maps, we can automatically assign a tag that says "Posting images without analysis is misleading and brings little to no value to our forum" and then @Ji automatically gets "This claim about snow is disputed". And @DTWXRISK gets "Many outlets have called this storm differently"
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you do know that these all use the same data set?
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I have to drive to Philly to buy a Kitten
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What? Wait why? We have a storm exiting only 24 hours earlier and a 1035 HP building in to our North East.
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yessssss!!!! Thats what I wanted to see!
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Even the 84 hour nam looks good
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Every model and pretty much every ensemble is showing a significant snow event in our area... not sure if this is one of those big ones.. but we are certainly in the "this is really gonna hurt if it fails zone" at this point
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I was looking at the pivitol maps and I thought that was ice of central PA.. its is actually heavy snow... I vote for a thread now.
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yeah the placement of that HP is exactly what we need. There is not a ton of Cold Air around but I really wasnt surprised when I saw the GFS trend colder this last run. The ensemble support is very encouraging.
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you go ahead and do you!!
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I have been to Montreal (when I was still allowed in Canada) where it was like `-10... but it was under a big dome of high pressure.. no wind.
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The coldest temp I have ever exp in my life was Jan 1 2018.. I was driving Uber in Ocean City.. i think it got up to 12 but the wind chill was way below 0. I have been skiing in sub zero temps.. but nothing compares to that day in OCMD.
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should we make a thread?
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I have a hard time remembering the 90s..
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I remember 2003 was initially forecasted as a snow to rain event of days out.. and then as we go closer and closer to the event.. temps got colder and colder
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I dont really know that much about this.. but I think when you get HP to our north with a blocking pattern in the atlantic and a developing storm to our south... it forces cold air in to our area..
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Both the euro and the GFS are showing MECs at this point.. successive runs also.. This is fun
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I dont know much about nothing.. but something tells me temps will not be a huge issue with the placement of the high and the blocking pattern that is setting up. It seems like temps come colder when we get a block... Dec 2009 was a great example of that..
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Nice! Thanks
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Yeah I get it.. they clearly are not the 2007 Patriots... It is really hard to keep winning in the NFL and I think when you have a long winning streak.. the choke factor sneaks in a you psych yourself out.. I think thats what happened to the Ravens last year... but the WFT beat the steelers the way you have.. play good defense.. dont make mistakes and capitalize off of opportunities. Fun game to watch.. probably the first time I have ever rooted for another team
