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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    Let’s see if this works. A flash behind the snowy clouds. NVRCH05-00-153504-153512.mov
  2. MN Transplant
    Huge flakes. Still 36.2 but accumulating on grass and cars anyway.
  3. MN Transplant
    Thundersnow! Ha, suck it 2011.
  4. MN Transplant
    Snow and 42
  5. MN Transplant
    Verbatim, I get more from the evening thump than the WAA.
  6. MN Transplant
    Looking back at the 06z GFS, it is a two-part storm in N Virginia. 3-5” while flirting with the mix on the front and then a 4-6” thump on the back. We can derive a realistic best and worst case scenario for DC. Best case is that the front end thump is robust and we get the GFS/NAM solution on the back, which could mean 12”+. Worst is that the front end is drier/warmer than we want, and then we get the Euro scenario with nothing on the backside (2-4” frozen).
  7. MN Transplant
    NAM and GFS both have a closed 500 low over WV still by Monday evening. More robust precipitation on the backside with this than what the Euro has.
  8. MN Transplant
    This did speed up from a few days ago. Latest HRRR has some showers in the DC metro starting at 2pm. Seems unlikely that we get anything more than white rain around here.
  9. MN Transplant
    Unfortunately NAM 84 thermals are never wrong
  10. MN Transplant
    If you ignore p-type, the storm through 21z Monday is a fairly uniform 0.5” for most of us. Then we tack on about 0.15” Monday evening on the backside. (18z GFS)
  11. MN Transplant
    Cursing Ed Donatell's defense. The change from Donatell to Flores was remarkable.
  12. MN Transplant
    I know that this is a joke, but they've been doing way better since getting embarrassed back a decade ago.
  13. MN Transplant
    Glad you mentioned it, because the total maps are going to be a bit exaggerated in some places due to what the globals are doing to Friday's event.
  14. MN Transplant
    DCA gusted to 54mph earlier. Impressive.
  15. MN Transplant
    I'm going to need to nap on Sunday afternoon because I damn know I'm not getting enough sleep that night.
  16. MN Transplant
    Wonder if there is any contingency for lightning in Times Square on NYE.
  17. MN Transplant
    Amazing. I didn’t think we’d take down 2012. November really pushed 2024 over the top.
  18. MN Transplant
    Was looking back through my notes and came up with 3/3/2014 as a nice 4-6”er with temps into the teens. Great winter and sorely missed.
  19. MN Transplant
    Few good T&L hits and pouring now. Incoming for DC.
  20. MN Transplant
    The 06z GFS 10/11 storm isn't a classic big dog, but it is a long-duration event with a 500 low closing off near Richmond and prolonging the snow.
  21. MN Transplant
    All of the fans of teams with multiple (or recent) SB titles can sit this one out. It is time for Detroit, Buffalo, or dare I say Minnesota to bring one home.
  22. MN Transplant
    The Atlantic is a mess, but this is 11 days out. The initial vort that goes into TX doesn't even hit the pac NW until Monday!
  23. MN Transplant
    We like the concept of that N stream vort coming to pick up the Gulf low.
  24. MN Transplant
    The GFS at Day 10 looks absolutely nothing like the 12z run. The pattern is too messy.
  25. MN Transplant
    I still have faith in Reichard. The quad injury definitely messed with his rhythm though. Gonna have to pile up points against Detroit’s injured D.
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