MN Transplant
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Everything posted by MN Transplant
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1-5 in the division, with the only win on a blocked FG. Love it. Now they go to Philly as sacrificial lambs.
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If everything else is working, you can just upgrade the temperature/humidity sensor. https://www.davisinstruments.com/products/temperaturehumidity-digital-sensor-board-for-vantage-pro2?variant=39617709736097&country=US¤cy=USD&utm_medium=product_sync&utm_source=google&utm_content=sag_organic&utm_campaign=sag_organic&srsltid=AfmBOorparqXUIbseeL_GhV5N17nRIgTP_lbR-ppJqHdstP_M-IQILrfUH0&com_cvv=8fb3d522dc163aeadb66e08cd7450cbbdddc64c6cf2e8891f6d48747c6d56d2c
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Snowboard is deployed and ready to go
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DCA 5-minute ob is currently 36/1.
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I think we all have to be realistic that the super-HRRR runs with a large swath of a foot plus are a bit of a reach. If we are all sitting with a nice 6-10" will some lollis, that is a win.
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Yeah, ICON finally came back north a bit.
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Feeling good about playing against consensus.
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Looks like thundersnow near Topeka.
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And yet, it is still 0.5” precip all frozen in DC. I’ll take that as the floor.
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Not quite. The JV ICON is still south, not that we will put any weight on that.
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Now let’s see if we can coax the Ukie and RGEM north.
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We accumulate snow, lightly, at every time step until midnight thanks to the influence of the 500 low.
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Yeah, that’s the big takeaway. For the main slug of moisture, the NAM has caved for DC. Still problematic for Fredericksburg.
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This HRRR run is the realistic best case scenario. Wet and cold for most of us with the front side.
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There really is only the NAM that is in the north camp. I’m hoping we get a cave here in the next hour.
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With this GFS run, the NAM is now on an island bringing mixing into DC.
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Is it that they are diverging, or are the NAM/GFS just on an island with the north solution?
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They close the gap a touch in the late part of the storm, but yeah, that is a wild difference this close.
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Manassas has no snow and 0.8" precip through the main batch.
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HRRR is the furthest north with the surface low, taking it through northern KY.
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Because we are all sickos here, snow starts at midnight Monday on the 12z HRRR. Gotta say, I'm a bit skeptical of the 30"+ projections in northeast KS.
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You won't be checking the HRRR hourly?
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The 3km NAM gives Indy 16” of Kuchera snow. The RGEM is 4”. It is 42 hours from snow onset out there.
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Thermometers are really accurate, but the housing/siting is where things go awry.
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Even with the NAM overprediction of precip, that is a wild number for an event where the surface never gets above 28 degrees.
