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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    Best hail in my 20 years in the DC area. Pea to marble
  2. MN Transplant
    You aren’t kidding.
  3. MN Transplant
    Yeah, I hadn’t checked in a while. Been to 84.9 here!
  4. MN Transplant
    84/42 at IAD. +17 for the high, and -1 for the low. Looks like another easily above normal month.
  5. MN Transplant
    Torch
  6. MN Transplant
    0.29", which is fine since we are doing well so far this year.
  7. MN Transplant
    I wondered about the local businesses too. I think it was the gas stations (especially the ones with food) and hotels that really profited.
  8. MN Transplant
    Adding to this, while the extra length is nice, you don’t have to be center line to enjoy totality.
  9. MN Transplant
    The red spot was a really interesting part of the experience. Evidently we did see a prominence. In my view it was at about 7 o’clock on the sun’s ring. https://x.com/forecaster25/status/1777434179136819497?s=46&t=bA1Os5w_10i9PfsurY28aw
  10. MN Transplant
    That was awesome
  11. MN Transplant
    Made it to Malone, NY. Milky skies, but better than I expected last night. Curious how much corona I’ll get to see.
  12. MN Transplant
    The upper level cirrus isn’t bad at all in Syracuse. We might try to outrun the mid level deck.
  13. MN Transplant
    In Syracuse but it definitely is looking cloudy all over NY. If it were just me, I’d take the chance and try to swoop over to northern VT/NH, but I’m not going to put my family though that!
  14. MN Transplant
    And then the 3km NAM comes in a with a perfectly acceptable solution.
  15. MN Transplant
    I don't want this to influence anyone's plans, but I am getting increasingly pessimistic about NY. As you step down in heights on the 12z euro, you see a gradual lowering of the cloud deck, such that any one spot is likely to be cloudy. I'm still headed up there, but tempering my expectations.
  16. MN Transplant
    12z NAM nest wants to keep the rain together as it enters NY
  17. MN Transplant
    Looking at the GFS is bad for my mental health
  18. MN Transplant
    The sunshine duration on the Euro seemed optimistic, but I'm good with that.
  19. MN Transplant
    https://weather.us/model-charts/euro Choose "All" under Parameter Selection and go down to Clouds. Select Ohio under Change Map Selection.
  20. MN Transplant
    Ok, here's the 12z Euro for NY. Yellow is good, dark is bad. First up, no low clouds as we've been talking about. Splotchy mid-level clouds, and then an exiting deck of high-level clouds.
  21. MN Transplant
    Not bad, verbatim. The algorithm says few clouds. Also looks good on the NAM.
  22. MN Transplant
    Better GFS run for NY.
  23. MN Transplant
    And we got one! Here's the big difference between the NAM and GFS. You can see the saturated layer from 250 to 350mb on the GFS sounding, which is our upper-level clouds. On the NAM, not so much. (edit - for the Watertown/Syracuse area)
  24. MN Transplant
    The OP GFS was trending well until 12z
  25. MN Transplant
    Yeah, finding somewhere with bathroom access is key
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