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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    We do have thunder, which is nice to hear.
  2. MN Transplant
    Jumped almost 10 degrees here in the last 90 minutes and we still don't have much sun. 72.2
  3. MN Transplant
    About a quarter inch so far. Does look like some clearing coming in 1-2 hours via the visible satellite.
  4. MN Transplant
    The HRRR is almost never going to be able to nail the exact swaths of precip, so it is best to take it with a grain of salt. The thing that put a damper on any "fun" around DC in the 16z run was the stabilization of the atmosphere ahead of the main line, which gets killed off. 17z on CoD is already more impressive with the cells that pop up after this initial batch.
  5. MN Transplant
    Up to 72.4 here. Solar has been up above 500 W/m2 at times, but that is in comparison to >800 on a sunny day at this time of year.
  6. MN Transplant
    Occasionally getting brief bursts of filtered sun. We aren't going to lose the higher clouds, but if we can burn off the lower stuff it'll help.
  7. MN Transplant
    0.12” and it appears I am missing the pop-ups this morning too.
  8. MN Transplant
    40.5. DCA 43
  9. MN Transplant
    39.6/30
  10. MN Transplant
    The eternal forecast dilemma. 33 and rain or 34 and rain.
  11. MN Transplant
    32.7 here. Warm enough overnight to take care of the rest of the snow/ice that was on the driveway, but the elevated surfaces are still frozen.
  12. MN Transplant
    More lightning out west in WV/MD.
  13. MN Transplant
    3.5” total. ZR is mixing in now. 31.2
  14. MN Transplant
    You are truly one of us now.
  15. MN Transplant
    The orange (40dbz+) areas are fun. How about some massive kudos to the models that saw the "retreat" of the sleet line during the heavy dumps. Really impressive.
  16. MN Transplant
    Was sleet, back to fatties. Impressive clumps.
  17. MN Transplant
    Yeah, we have some graupel and rimed flakes mixing in. Still mostly -sn
  18. MN Transplant
    2.6”
  19. MN Transplant
    RadarScope indicates a lightning strike in WV with the stuff coming our way.
  20. MN Transplant
    2.0” now, 0.8” in the last hour. An indication of the size of this storm, it is pouring snow in my hometown in MN right now from the same system.
  21. MN Transplant
    For anyone worried about the “hole” to the south, that isn’t our problem from DC north. The current radar and all the modeling indicates that the second round of precip is from the expansion/enhancement of the shield from the west. The remaining question is whether that can get here in time to head off the sleet line (which is coming, but can be effectively slowed by heavier precip). Ob: Nice fat flakes falling. Not pouring snow, but not exactly a lazy fall either.
  22. MN Transplant
    7am CoCoRaHS ob: 1.2” snow, 0.08” precip suck it, Ferrier scheme coming down awesome in the yellows
  23. MN Transplant
    I’d have to think that there is something amiss with the Ferrier scheme in this scenario. That is implying a sub 5:1 ratio which is really hard to come by. That said, if you thought the 00z HRRR was bad, 01z upped the bar there.
  24. MN Transplant
    I’m surprised we haven’t had more days like this. Nice catch.
  25. MN Transplant
    I didn’t really notice any non-snow forms here, but there were a lot of needle snowflakes which are just awful for accumulation.
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