It seems like there were a couple of issues with the model forecasts for this one. First, at 5+ days out there was uncertainty about where the "landfall" of the low would be, so some of the runs had us getting significant precipitation that was closely associated with the low. However, when we got closer it became obvious that the low was going to be in NC/SC and we would have to hope for the feeder band (the Euro was particularly in on this scenario). The interesting thing that has happened in the last day or so is that the models have caught on to a second low that pops off the coast. That disrupts the moisture flow and likely keeps the rain closer to the low and the coast.