Even better, here are the 10am obs from W/SW VA. Forget the p-type and look at the wind direction. The HRRR thinks that all of these locations should have E to SE winds right now. It just isn't handling the low correctly. So, it looks like the NAM is too cool ahead of the storm, but the HRRR isn't going to have the right track. It is better to have the track than the temps right now.