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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    Snow on snow otherwise we riot
  2. MN Transplant
    That 00z Euro run was wild. Over an inch of QPF falling into a deep cold airmass where the surface temps stay <15 degrees during the day.
  3. MN Transplant
    Already the 5th warmest day in December at home. 55.0
  4. MN Transplant
    I’m still mad about Jan 2011
  5. MN Transplant
    Got clipped by both primary batches. Bet it is coming down well out by Manassas.
  6. MN Transplant
    Turned to ZR after a few minutes
  7. MN Transplant
    Sleet. 28.2
  8. MN Transplant
    I'm still skeptical about many of these pure AI models, and the paper itself isn't a slam dunk, but I did notice something else interesting in there: Historically, t2m has proved extremely challenging to assimilate in a global physics-based weather model, with the ECMWF starting operational assimilation of t2m observations only in November 2024 (Ingleby et al., 2024). This led to significant improvements in short-range t2m forecasts.
  9. MN Transplant
    The biggest “problem” is that there just isn’t much precip with this. Meso models are in the few hundredths range. If we were looking at a big shield of precip coming in I’d agree with you. But it is very likely just some pingers and/or light ZR for a bit.
  10. MN Transplant
    16.3. Good call by the NWS from a few days out to go colder than most guidance.
  11. MN Transplant
    Truly amazing. Now the Packers and Lions to close the season.
  12. MN Transplant
    Eh, I like big dog hunting. I've already completely forgotten about the light/moderate events that happened less than a year ago.
  13. MN Transplant
    I was wondering about that too, and it seemed to be more NW/SE oriented. Probably a combination of a normal temperature gradient and a bit of cloudiness over northern VA.
  14. MN Transplant
    Mesoscale models have a light band of precip coming through in the morning. Surface is residually cold, but the column is a little too warm. So, more of a mix. If it is delayed at all the surface will warm and it'll just be cold rain on the 24th.
  15. MN Transplant
    23.4, didn’t fall much after midnight.
  16. MN Transplant
    Can't lose three games, not win your conference, and expect to get into the playoffs.
  17. MN Transplant
    I don't see any guidance that is this cold, but sure enough it is in the AFD too: Sunday night brings lows in the single digits to lower teens for most.
  18. MN Transplant
    You jinxed it. Down to 38.
  19. MN Transplant
    Mood snow at 35.8
  20. MN Transplant
    AMS week in New Orleans, so that tracks.
  21. MN Transplant
    They still had the old wind chill scale back then and the numbers were insane back home in Minnesota. -60, -70, -80. We were out of school for a few days and I remember just sitting and watching tv coverage of the Northridge earthquake.
  22. MN Transplant
    Amazing, DCA tied a record high today. 65
  23. MN Transplant
    A sloppy game last night but it never felt like we were in trouble. Amazing season.
  24. MN Transplant
    It rained, so yeah
  25. MN Transplant
    Rain over here at 460’
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