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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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    Falls Church, VA

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  1. Yeah, the differences tonight are going to be exaggerated with the warm air advection aloft but good radiational cooling conditions. I could be +10 from IAD.
  2. Not sure what was surprising about DCA last night. 16 for a low. Andrews was 13. That seems like a reasonable difference.
  3. To this point, none of the three main climo sites have dropped to single digits.
  4. It was mostly the Euro that had a terrible time with surface temps. And then the RGEM closer in. The other models were more more realistic, and then the peak cold was delayed by a few hours which didn’t allow us further east to get as low.
  5. 9.3 and still slowly dropping. Family W of Frederick is at 0.0.
  6. Only missed the record low by 27 degrees at IAD! (-16 in 1984)
  7. Looking at satellite, there was a band of clouds that helped to keep things a touch warmer along 95. The obs on the Gulf Coast are amazing. Heavy snow in Lake Charles and other places.
  8. Temp held steady overnight until just rolling over in the last hour. 10.8
  9. For those that like to look for extremes, we have a little model battle shaping up for Wednesday morning. The Euro/GEM/HRRR are all in the camp of bringing the final lobe of cold air in before sunrise on Wednesday, really getting us cold (about 5 for the metros, below zero for the favored cold spots). However, the NAM, and to a lesser extent the GFS, are slower, not getting that wave of cold in until after sunrise causing it to be about 5 degrees warmer on the lows. There is also likely to be a massive difference in morning lows on Thursday as the cold retreats. Higher elevations will flatline or even rise overnight while the cold pool locations will stay very cold.
  10. On behalf of the remaining no-Lombardi teams, guess I’m rooting for Buffalo.
  11. Both, but of course everything is interrelated. Getting chilly now.
  12. A timing play is always difficult for us 95 and east.
  13. Agree. Good for those who are getting rates, but this is a big nothingburger. Maybe 0.3" so far.
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