MN Transplant

Nice I68 storm

Feels nice today, though

The HRRR is extremely aggressive with winds in any convection that develops this afternoon.

Spectacular, except this is the first day I've noticed bugs.

They got rain the day prior from the broader trough but not the low itself.

Mostly unimpressive except for two locations and two individual events. The early-season SE Colorado event and then the absurd Gulf Cost event.

Quite the gradient (2 day totals)

Yeah, I’m dancing on the edge right now. 0.38”

12z HRRR looks great. Even throws 0.5” back to Winchester.

The problem is that this is a small low and the moisture availability is modest at best. PWATs don’t even get close to 1”. Part of the reason why this looked like a region-wide soaker from several days back was that the two parts (wave then low) nicely hit different areas. The wave part ended up being a dud for most of us except for up by Hagerstown. I got a trace.

18z NAMs and HRRR look fine. Most of us over an inch, and up to 2"+ in lucky spots. The difference is that the HRRR centers the precip in the center and east of the DC/Balt region, while the NAMs favor spots W of 95.

Low of 30.0, which is impressive. I didn’t think my spot had another freeze in it. Downtown DC and DCA avoided freeze, as did Annapolis.

34 this morning. I’m skeptical of a freeze tomorrow in the warmer spots (DCA, local elevated areas), but the regular spots should get there.

The 4"+ on the Euro would be kind of fun.

The pollen puddles were unreal this morning. About 0.4”