Ensembles trend with northern stream not digging as much and is positively tilted. Hopefully models trend a bit better in future runs regarding next weekend.
That is why I discounted it Saturday evening only to have people tell me I’m wrong. HP not locked and temperature is very marginal for Wake and even Durham county. Things can change but I don’t buy it.
It looked to me like the Canadian northern piece of energy was digging a bit more in the past 2 runs. If that trend continues, then you may get your wish.
2.6 inches from ( average of 2 measurements flat surface) 4 miles northeast of RDU at 12:43 am. I’m thinking storm total of 2.9 inches given the back edge will move through in the next 0.7 hours.
We live 4 miles NE of RDU and really didn’t transition to rain in that December event plus got 2 more the next day for a total of 10 plus. My oldest son was at NCSU at the time and only got like 3 .